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CAMBlRIDlGE 'I!JNmVliR:s:rn PRESS The' Idilib.lll. Bm1d~., ar~[,bridg~' B2 :UtV:., 'UK, ib;U:p~lwww',lm,,,cam.a1c.ut C " l 411)'W~!5;t,:2/ot1b, :5"l~c:'~, ,N'~w t:orl" 'NY U1i0'[ 1--4i~ '~"USIA hu~~ Itwww'~P',;lO'l'I 10 S:tamf~NI R'O:a;I~ O:aik:~I~~~ Mt~b~nj'r:lle ',166~, ,A1.ts'n,a~ial
Di~ ~ooi;,~sin ;cg,~yr!g'h't. 5iu'bjed lQ, s~"UI~I~nll:')" aoe.~tinll. oaJlldj 'fO' tbill' pmv;ls~o:ns ,of ul~~~ni[ n~ct~lt~11cen~~I'i\B; m aB~em)L~::nts. no, r,eprodu!cti~n, 01' :,a'rt 'maj~'take :p~a!(le:'wi,dliO'tll tb~ 'mi~i'~~nn~s5i'():g ;Qf C'a!'tt"b:rld&~ Ut~'i'vc;~iit¥ ~St'S. ~
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tb~r-e'a<fe~ tbe reader may 6ind m'l' ~~o5itiQin j!us-l as in:t'en~,gilbIJe',. The p''llmp05e' of the 'book. Is ~refIJeeted, :in :i~s,itle: '~O- :iDltIloduet t t~,e :reade:r tn causal mechanisms [~ba~serve as '~:h!,e baslc UD~Jts, of
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A 'w()-rd ,abtU:il s!ur-le'"1 'ba;v,e' tried to aJvo~d IO,gglfig [de~d ~mS'es, 0([ bel,aibo:ri:m,g the obvious,.;: it-o be honest aibO'ut. '~:he' inevi.ta;bl~' s~.mpUfijC'aJ~ans;' 'w:n:te s~m:pllr and 'widlOlu;r jarl{)n;' '~o reslpett ~o the reader's l.nteU~g~l]),ceas 'weH as hls :i\gllo\rance" :1: ,0\11 ~e~", f,ltC:UD;"
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Is '['bartthe other 'ohaptem, are Uke :i'mpj["~stQn'~S1j,c p(l.duJtbrIiBiS,l' in 'wbi~'b ~rlhi,t;and shade make up[ :[Of' lack of '[orus. Th'~ '~I 'M" ,; 'Ii '...., -L :m;a-n,' JJ,~~tn,O't[essewle' seve[-a,~ :IUlu:ttOns" r> ,auil!ll', '[Iller are ne :re.mnbldlf;.n. ,tb~,t 'Whl1gs,are more OlropUta:t~d [than Illh,e':majn '~ec"t
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:pel, dlaJt. hn,[\~]olii paLd]y' 't,o :~rveas a ,guldie to further stu.di.es" :L'iik@ snme' ,cocl'mI.)!' ,O'tmeli 'books,. tbi;'S O:D~ be.l-ailriJ, ,1):5 ]Iectures aJ~ '[Jnil~~rsit.v 0'£ [Ctl'b:aa~l.:[ ,~'m 'i'ndieb(!ed 'I\Q' mj\'l ~nldenes ['Or' 1"i,r.,:sh(i~Q' ~="·~·-I}·'l· ... .ru--[-~- ..[~[
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a flajjq" :It is not hruned.ta,te[, ()bvi),(}!l],!j.what is; more :DI;ndaBt.mml~. [ev'e[l!lts OJ :faLlt~\. ODe :m'LQ;b!~,-iIiui.te cn[l!l'U'~~bl'"'~'. ,,;.~._~~ 'B['-c'~b;!!'s; Vlt.. ... l L.r=-·=·=r~~··l""'ly~ e;x·p·latilii [.u. _l .. ~7e:c '('Ory' by the' ,Rlepruibncan :~~orlty," One ,n.Uig'hrlt a]so~ :0,0'~~S ,llauSi'" b~.y".expmin. the Repu'bUcam m~:orljty as, 'be~n~ the r-esnJt a senes rOlf events, each of 'Ylih:i,cn '~,ook '['h,e [nnn ofbeUef :£'QIm'aJOOI)l by' an individual 'VUit~r..'the second. peirSpeai.v~·s du~mo're :~uni d.armenltal:: [explaining: events :is, lo[gical~.y':v=do[r.'t-O e-xp:~!1bricllS'Cam;. A :£act :is, ·1 '~e~o[al ;sna:psho[ of' a sneam of [f\Vecn1t\s~ '0;[' a.~pii~.e nl' :s.uffin ~J~I~,f~J;llv~~,if'n the. ' c~~i;ji[~ eril~:n; .... ·ii·'L. A'II~;F'iro"I!"Ii'i<''''~' i/ 1~-''''~!.III:I"t~' !I;IlL.l~ """,._nl~~ ;: ucu E:D'!lI·ifliIo'!,'t..nt,,,, A_~;ll lu;t; ~~~I~ul_~l "_~~l~ ~1~IJ_i~~r~:.I~J.~_~ inmv.iduiilI. human. aetinns. :i[iji"Jll1di~Q1 menc't'.... ,~.i!"'t~; ~~I'ii ...·1[o1 '~i!lt' ·~~·!Ir~[·· ] · ---ttl ~~'-~'i_~ D_iiJI ~iJ_l}e~ .. fOllnatiOCQ~ To. ·exp]a~n an event ts ·~O[ gl'vte' an ,aC:CQU[1ilt 0:(' Wby h: h.a'J;e_nrd!" UsuallY"1 and aJwaJ~ 'wtLma,tely.~.l tbt.5 ta:kt!~. he fO(Eln [of:dnitD.8. ,aiD. r eatUe'l" @veot. as the cause of the' ev~t. wee W,a'D~ ~~O ·ex;-p]a'i'll .. t,og-edli,ef m.th :s()m~' aOC-OUDt~ ·rltt causal mechanism of eo:ooea;,.. ing: the two eyc:nts,. IFI·ere·is ·a sim"ple,I' 'paIaJdii.gma1fj,c eX'arm;ple'~We' want te ~_~ ~_ whc~ someone chaIto-:edll~s;~=~., ,aboT'n [~ ~c'b ,f! mind he ~~~.~~~_ know ~_~=Y .... ~~. ~ ~=~~-~~ = fU,.. 1a,.JU
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jrclb :Ioctuitl,. br :F.t.'Q"!lr~ri;nle.m,:p:i;oyers tn ,give job tenure to a;~I, wb(1i bad, 'been. ,enTplolred. for' rnlQ[Ie" ~ban\t,saY'I' 1;wo Jt;i8ir:s;,Th,e causal :meebalwsrn, is .r,3'unllal adarpta,tiolD 'tlJ' t~h,e'~g~slatlon. 'by e=mph:rfY·'·' l ers, 'who Ind i:l 1.0 dlle',iir' Ill!t,er.-es!t 'to d'ism'iiSs worke~ jUSit 'be;[OIl@' 'die explra:tiloll. gf'm,e t;w,o""y'tifr ~perioo.. :S'ta,i:ements 'iliart, :,urpod. t,o ,ex,p:la;i!ll,an: f.V€.Dl must be c.a;re:tbn.y'
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:h'~s,a~rgume:__rnt.bad, fun 'mirld" M,a;nyi;ng, for :Ioye; causes uDhaJppi;" ness IOlli.y' Jn D,Ci)(fIto't wDerlt1' 't'bjs 'pli.toiltt:, is ex:ceptional. :BitO:~O~ gI_j!t!; oft'e'D refer tn :5;ll])cl1,efFects; as "~fr[et]uem:cr decpen.die'n;t. ~ I dis, C'lI~'S'tbi~ ~,~lj,Qfl" :in ,cb~p~e1:"-1:, Tirtr[t(t, ,(;'8'0581, pliUIlf)iU,IlIDS[ must be d:~sUrnl,uish,oo,from assera Il'i,orns;,a'tHJ:tU necesslitatinn" TiDI ex.p];lhl an €Vl!-nt: i~s; to gi,ve an. ICt:(JUFllt of 'wfur,y' i'Eh8~penoed as it :hap,pt!nedj" The' fact: 'ma;t, l't nriin'~lnaim have~ ===,V:t'", ban;t)ened :hl some.... ~--.~~~ ~~~~ - ~ ,~. =~ ~ ~m other' w,ajil:~ ~ '~'Oulld 'b-~:':;=' =f~,and .... ,-~,-,=,,a,Vif: h._B!ppened,hl some [ather: 'w[a,y i.f it :bad not happened in '~h,e'w,a,r ;t~1I1~fI,~ jI'[Ii;il!!oit':-h:.)~'r.' here '~~'il" '~,"'e'IjIoe. C-iO'; ,[.f.u,u,... .... ~I '~~"'J"'1fIi1 'I":e (Flifil!'~i;ll!l;li!-; ,·",~'t'o'.; _IJi"".._,o1I iI)" UIi,U,i" ,_., lilU,:}li .... r.- .... T'!!",ILI _ ~U,'~~I"i;", 'f-rom an i,ltruraibl[e fOJtltli. [or ,cao__e'efjl' 'w'lJl'~dl,:Lscena'~rnto [ld~1rn'im,
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[t:~J~';11' hw be dj,i,ed.w,~t'h~hl eertain time ~e=mod~ is ~(Jilljt'[ess w~ ' ,8 h: [~. tFJj;F ~ '~O sa 't11)8:'t he had',to' di,e' In, U~aJt. m.'oo because he had cancer, 1f' p
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~palll of permFlIs 'i~!~I.~lb. typ~ of eaneer and, 'dt,e dJea,tb. .o:f d~,c tha,t~ 'li'ie:nDn , :it, ~:s,Ip:la:lJl~s~b:le i'[1![er 'dlillit be di,ed be(ar~~ of 'n'l~e,~ ~~,= to anc .I"'~~~ ~.JIL" ~= -~ c~ceF~ ~ 'W:e' 'barv''f the' fa_dier event £1'11.:1, a ,C'ausa~ me;e__h,loh;:m" :!)uRicieIil!t: to bri;ng aooru:l: dle' ,~a,te:r.~"'te.Di:", ,But~'the m.ec'na'nilsm j[S not, neeeSls!IIl'::
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be ~pree=m!p~ed, another" Lr:o find ou.t, ·wbat ad:UlaJIIy 'br ha~peD~d.;) we rn~,oo,mO'[t' finely grained :know:led;I~' The' Qjlllest :f1I,t!y,er rends,;; :ri.gbJt 'u.:p u) ~h,e lest s£OOnd~ ;mmethirnl else oould pregm,~ '(h,e ,c-arlu:e.r'" Y[el: the mare 'wte know ~'h.e:more' <:-onfidrent.
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The 't\¥O pm'blems, w,e ba:'te just discussed ,add up to' ,8 weak.'" !mas ,~n "'!he best-known theory' ,o:f :SI(':~e._Q!tilf:ijc' ,a,p]ana;tiollf. tbat
:pmposed. by [CaJd H:e:mpel He-,iu:lues, 'IDI't e!(,,~ana~lon, ,a'm01!l~~S, "0 IogiGit1 deductjOll, of the event 'to be ,e-l.'Cplained~, 'w:~t:b Itmer,a] ~~a,ws;and. star'e:meIllJtsI of [mJtial condilto,ns as, 'th,€ plle'1lI!Wse,s., Oue , ,obje(ti~n,is that 'dte ,Sie=nef'al, :la,w5 :mjsht [Ieflect conelanon, lrnJ)l IC'.a,iUS~uio:n" Another ~s''t'h a t. the l.a,W~;b, ven :if:' lenl!dll.ely' ,c:ausat, e
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pl~ced the eQlpbas:~s, here on ..mechanisms,!, :o,o:t n :la'ws., l'hlS IS o not a.deepl :phUosup:bic;w dl~reem:e'nt., .A causal IDN-banlsDl h;a.;,s
a firnite' number af Itnks, ~;a.c-b mi:fI'ilt: w.iU have to 'be G,eK1ibed b,' [a,
tha.t sense 'by [;I ,jli"blac'k 'bt)X"j about 'wbose bl!ltemals,ears, and. 'wheels, 'w,e remain '~guota;nt, Y:ft: 'for :p:rattica'l ~C:', OifeS .....the n;- i'mGSe5! of the... 'Wlorr1ldn~' soc~a'~sc:lentislt - tthe ,~.I PU:rp .. pU_..p ...... - ..~,., . , p~a~ of emphasts is :rmp-c)tI1aJDJt :B, (;O;nGell,'traJt~_[lg, ,fio, meciila,"',
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argued that s;e~ldnc 'e'x,p:lau.ar~l.ons,dill~ir' 'from ,acco:~u:Us[ ~f wIlla!~ had. to happen. [ a:w, nor\iV ·sair~n_I: '~haJ~. t'he'¥ a;~so diller from
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w,aU'n to be UMa!pply',~, by Idesiri'[~g objects Itiemornsu,aJbly' OllJt of rce~cb 'shin~:~ybecause 'm~;y,are' ,u~t of' re~c:h" :Bl!l!ld a 'fe~J:e aro:UJld. s.anle(,ne~, and be' htlmed.ta,ttl.y 'W3..nt'S'~O:Iet. out, 'w:tdle ''''_..",;f\lf1i;rl'oO; ~a. h.,~,~ II~~, C"I'II..... t'h~'A(I'IIi~'ht· .. m'~'. h:'IIi:' '''I'''''I''i'D' 'd"~ A,",c ,t~ir' .~IC ji .1'iIJl!l\!""l' ,~, 1!'" ~ J'L. "",ci!l u.. .""'"' ,I.. ,il. have fiiO 'tih~Ii~~ '~;I:-l'~:~'__ l'I~: 'wb~n one 0,1" l~l~. vI~l~= I~'f ,.:1t~-~ ~~~, ~,~'~~ ~~~V~~'I!ir.·~ YIQ~ t::e,·]I,U,~ ~ .... u;l~5£ ·· ~·~,..'iil'~ "'"'1i1I<P!i" ~ t'e" ;t"i!iI::' does 1Y.t"~~'g~~I.:'" .... m .I, I: ,",/lI,,.~.~g.~,!!i~~~;t~,;j, ~~, ~,r:",,~-,ar!l!·'., •. ~.~~,./~it W Yn~, 'Y'Ji, l~.~~~~~, ''::~I~;:!!i W"'" recognlze :~t.Lmme(UatelY,l and so, we caD. eXfPlah'l the beha.v1,or' I,t :
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il,~ad,tu 'the same au~co,mc'~w that Cur. pred'tcrhv1! PUqJO'SCS there ifs 'DO need. to decide a~mong:them" 'Y:et 'fOif ~"'.p~~aL~_ali[o;rr' :~').;1fr:pO~S, the metbanis:m i~s Wh~ift mauer-Q,. :I:'~ Pffivjld,es u[f:lde1Sta~Il.(nnA'"
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[case' 'we [ca...n use' 'dte [DO::U.J:I.ence '0:1' the' t1XSIt. t.ype (If event to :Ij:redl~t tme lotm:ne.nce of the 's~m,rnd,;, Ndbody beUeY'es ~~ba~ he ~ :Int :s"m:p1:oms, [af,3 deadly' (Usease cause dle latEr deadl~'yet: ,t'taJey tiel r-e,lula.r1I" used '~Ol :pcr-ediiot d1iaJt eY~ll!t :Silm'i1ad'Y"I' i~ dees 'ft(J[
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:und~vlduSJU5m, is :~nmy riew' m,vifdl" true;, ,Man,' 'diiJuk, d.iB'er.'"" fotl"" hO'w~ter", and some' '01 '~ID.i_£,ir ~lUmel1ts; w~n ,addr-essoo, be :~D.chapter XV,. Here :1'w,aul '~O stress ~'b:ajt :~ud'li,vid'ual[scttODs are 'lhemselves, :in need of' 'e'xp:~a'DaJlj,o,fl.i,.~ ,A~:s~~p:lf' :;scb,e_meIUJ' explai.nioJ: ,1;1), aOlion is to 'see it as 'rile [!!:]'ld resu'~t: of t.WO sueeesslve :fUlte~tD(1,~pen[ttons.,'W[e bqm 'with, a
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o:ft~n but ~~~'~'~~~=~'"'\iIi:i!~Y" stated ,- m.ethOOtl'l,o;0t::-KllUfSmi;:; . _.O!lL. !'IS,=- misleaili1!lOi'~C-::, ~~',~,., = as ~~~--=-~-~-,R~(-aJ (il.~
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are ,eaS']e:r ~:o ,o'ltJserv~"D,OI just by the :sociia'l 'sdeGJtist: bl!1~also by' odieI' :indi~'Y',id1uats: ~et-::-7. . ln, nrrlU[aMf :s.tf:[a'llP--C:·.~ a ba:~ic d!!'ot· 'I J' ''is,. ~~~~~ ~~~~ '"~~~-- ~ir!i~...~.". =~=~=~ /1-=,~lr. ~.~~ y .._5~_t .JJUD"I 't'l1]ail\orne' dltn:d:d :maik,e Olllf!"S !plans on the' basis ~f the oppo(l.i1ent~'~s 1(~ve'rUliaJble~,cap~a'IJUji:lies" net O!ll furlS, (l.Jlr:l!.ye:ri~6alll.e') blr_telt1i;tlJO(IlS" Of~ 'i:e!mJ' am,ounts so ptannlml,g (tiD a wo:r:Sf-,ca'Se' Iss'Umpticnl: '~'be '~bls ""='-'.' OliOl--"'m - .-1- - ~,. u --'Il-. .. ,:. b;ll~ opponml, 'Wrn h-( _-,''(' Ic~ 'ne-~-,Ci1U)IUlJO so. '~"'- ea;cu '~lue'"~I- - on ,,:Ii-. : ~Jun. u_s' r.PiJaiDS,
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m~~ht·~JI"'·,t"...a~ m{_~", 'fiI"~',,· a~~""~'F'~:;-i'Ji[-e ,til_Ii] . dJlJoo,e;nJtal, than, d,esb:es has '~o d,o' w~:th'~'be ~ss'jrbil'ijty of td~nUe=QC\~' bill 'belha.v,ior,' •.:lJt :is u$llIaUy Ie:as;ile:[ ~ba:~le':people"s crrQJ:mstaIlc,es 'to and op-poftll'nIJties than to Icbafi~;e theiF .ml-mds,,~ iuis :is a ICrJI[:'bend,t: aqtum,e.DJt ,a'OOlu't: 'Ole (I,oUa:r. em'ect~¥eIlL~S's of [al~emaU,vc'
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lBven,t tne :ID¥emment baJS a load. the~ry~w\lti~h,aJUolw8, fotr bath IfJ'-td,jul:s:ttan. ,and Il11~~d~otl,on~, :ma:y' ,no:t ,al1(}w ·fJllr.:nul:Ch. IQo([l't;rol. :rt The' '(aanD, [mal [ar-eunder ,lovem~m,eDt.,control are no~ ,a]w[ars'~be
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''Y',~lle',.~ccraty' , j:n: ,Ammc-a a'ibOil;J:l:td's 'w.~jtb :~D:sla;m:.ti!8, :rll wbl('h d.es:irfS aDd [olppo;rt1.ulitl,fS, are 'tI~lC-ed'back t~ a, 'COilil'lllBon, eause, .'.....t. ,', -~. S'" .",~/i . - iLiIi:IJe! to, ,~o,met~meSI '.,W'O a,~,:, .' conDe: - m'-' .it,h-(·-]- :T'--- r--·-:ii'III-- T-- :~,_a_'"" m . -..-., - . -. I..• [: us, .' [ocqjlil!'eVilIiLe says\!' -'~ err :m;otQ:nI" prevents whi't~, men. :fmm malltmg ~ht:i['furt:ume'r »1)],t --.--- ..:).'-- !f~-"- -- .-- a Ii-I'R' .;it eriea ,.; ..... ev·en 'U__jVre~ IJJI[efll JLrog -iOl""" [,s' wt-~~-~~~ [Ii~ AiI'i; Ul-1;,.'T~!I:"'~~'
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Im~U1a'nt, 'but 'tbeoreticaiU, 'tdvi.al, desire :tooexpand [one's ~ppO\f'~uru,tyset, bUJt the :mOR ptlzzUng: cases in wIbl.ch people Dud :~~ :rrn,
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mOIre l[e'09th ~n ('ha,pt:er:s I.V and V ~ but ]it :lS ,also ret",amt he[~'~ As 'nuS!tf~at~dby the 'stary ~)f l,tists, and, tb,e; :~[I~rnS~,p~ople do mot O ,a'bv,3,YS tms[t. themselves 'to be:h.~ve r,ajti,Gnal~.I,J·.U the,Y' ca.m,,anttCi,·· :pate t~e :kind. of situa;t.iolls, 'm w'bj~h mey :nti~'t lose 'weir' :bead.. 'fb~ can, act :s[ra,t~git-aUf to 'prevtIILtt tht ~pportJUmJty' :['0:[' d!o.~n,1Ol S 'f.r~m,an~~DI;'E:ma,l ,dedd,e' :n;ot ,{,O' :so,'~O me 'offic'e parity if I ,a;m ,afr;ili:id.I: 'w,iU d,Q' sametbi:D,g [fio:~ish,., OD JaJfiJuary' l 1: :ma,y' ,ask de.nJUstto b:~11 e :in, t!Idl. :i'" on .I[a;[Ullary 20 :1: eancel my arppo~rnJt:,. m .
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alt!fl'ti or :p:ta,Y1u.s\!t ~: and II [Fig;. :IL2"" In rbi's :Iam,e", I morves, first, H:e 'C~OC1I,ejJtl'ileOC' 't~n.~l!~~U!he BI'me by' ~m~Ying I.elt~ ill t
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~t~I,e" In duilt ~a~e'tI wUI, knorw' ·t~at.tbe outcome I))f laiinM, riEJllia wi[1 'be' (1. ~ I)" Tn aV{)itd malt, :he gue,s leA :intt~/8JEt ,M,ore' ,c,o.o."" aet:eI,Yt, snp]l(lx' that I: ,and :I[ afe ,t.W10<OllPOs:iDg, aun~es,., r":s 'Hrst.
mow' oo~ponds; to 'the [d'iJoi,Cf' 'be,t;w'een Ope..Il'IQ: n~ioda;tlo;rnrs and aJttac-JdD~., If 1: ,chooses, to, ,a:tta,ck, :~l:b.e:-n has ~'be choice t b~it .-' - - if', ~,~·'-,·.ill a '~3!r ~iIo,\!y';een. ,-it W!li.reaJI~n,~ [ally, ,t:,-'iI'"':t~'-'Q B;~"'~fI]r-li.'!.o,_...~jI_.,., 'W(1!i[dd be' SiJ} ,~~I~iIi)~n:~" ;:::j .~.'.~ ~..~.,
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dimtmmv-;e, ~t w1)uld then be :in. ,~rs In-f,er[es1: ~o :re.trea:l., :8,~w" eve_1!j u: :mtalJ use the classial straitage.m [afb-um-~g bi;1 't)\li,di,Ies!... bm;'S :rnaking retreat ph,si,caUy' i.mpmsJible and~ as a. (onse-' 't1,efU:€'~ bringiog '[ to 'the neB.oUart~,urn.ta·lb~,~.:~' Sl't.rn,w,' s.pea:kbl(l·j rbeen:: ]s, 50me,1fiJbll, ,~n(:Q:n___gro~us,,~bouJt I~X'" 11da;mnJ; an [amero, bll *C:ll1USi ofoppar.t:I!l:m,tie:s and d;esb:'-e~~Oppor, . ;, I' t, 'L'· . . UlO~t~,e.s· O'[!,:J:bi:;i:~vei' [ex~em:aj '~"O,[I persen, -lj"" " are 'II-..."~,.' ~eSJres aire':su~Jecd,Ye
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a!ndJ'blitemat 'W:e :haly,e :n:o :,u)bt~m.n '!ll[n,d)erstafldlng bOiw' [ec"te}r~' i 011, obj;eos ca;n act 'D,pa-D. [each [other (0 plwd:uoe' 81m ~UJi,e;o:m,e "lll01' .. in I.,. r: ~ the' :I1,otian of r."~ 'Q'ratll"!~D,!D! jIl1i'~T-e:'~f~:~' '~,vch'h::'~.aJus,anty", It :~s' ~lea.f' Jless, " IF'~ b0'~'~':'0b'e,a;~we' _~~ ml:ri~ ed'h1'{e [elemell'~s can, :inlte:IrB,d:. t-O p-:.r.odfu,[t _ 6W iiJ. ~~. . .. L .. [iUld ~ ~~ m adian~ .In fl[a, 'w:bl! txPLai[is; -n'b,eaaiOll :is, the peU'On'~'s desires, '~osem,t['mlh. 'his [Hlifft, alball1:t the [~piPortu~mld,es" Because
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'v,eBely~, i'f' be' w-rongm,y' beU,ey,@'$(_~rtaln U['ijr;eas~ble o:ptions '1\0 be '[eas'ilble" the ,a[ct~OliJ, :ma.y' have di;'Sa$troU$ results. :It 'would, be
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laJ r-msoDhl(B the::-n~lv!@s\r'he 'mus~, Lry to 'OU~llJJ!esls,and c)'utsmaH ilb~m.,,A, mare eontr6'Ye;[sial [exa_'_mpi,f' is tb.a~,(ft 'th~ aJ1jr>t WllO is
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:p.lmtl~'$., .rf~ 'wh,e;n ,off~red the ,cb.oice between, an. 'fitaifil,~ aod. [(10. apple, I take't'lle oran.I'f it is not because of any OWJlcome 'dlJa!t.]: 'w'atOlt,to brl'QS ,about .. [,~.tS nilt as, i'f I tak'e the' ,jJram~e to [c_rea!~ea ce:mlin. s.ensa.tj!on. 1:11 my' taste 'buds,,2 :1:take :it. 'be,cause :1:'would '~~-I!t'jk. -~~, Ik-vp-'~-'t,l..-'n, 'Wh-~- '1' u£a!J~' t';k -'it ~I-' :ral'~l[il,er.ua.,:'Ij;. [aD ora~nb'~ _ ._u;a~;~m [a,p.Il~,~',.',_,,_, ,.;~m ~ Ai -~\.4- I~JI;ila)I' would rerber spe:nJd ti:m:e with a frn,end ~baril sta :~a~f'arl, ~lhe' ()ffi:t~·;!' there need net 'be' ,a:ny i(iOmnt;On Bna:~ to w'hic'h bot!h, ae'lions; aIle ,aJil:eJna.'t~,v~ eans, n :lS". le~ us aJssume'1 Siml~]u m.ore' m F',' :i:wipo;rtallt: '([0 :me tv 'be' wi:th my frieod ·~·harn, 'fi[Oi'5b :my 'wade., to A'~dJoUJGb. dlese choioes d,o, _JiJ,otfill ~il1lltO'the' means-to-en ..e-.nd
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options so 'lha~,the more :~nuen-ed O:-Ptlocas recetve mliler nnm'bers ,,4' 'W'e, can then '53;y' dla'~the' :p«s:oo. acts so as In :maDm'ize' uJtnr~,r;!'as lO!llJ ,atSwe k[eep 1n mind, tbar dUs :Ls p~tbtllll but,a, ,co([l,Yen;ieun w,a" ,of sa".~,Dg 'i:baii: he does, 'wh~!l'( he :mull}st :pre(er:s~ There ~s, ~~ :irm:~UCili{1,Q[[i -of :hed.of:li~·m., In [liU:t. b':,~:'rue;Ditd~~~'"', ~ _ .~ no -'-=l."""l[V~~··_ww-,~~~ ~~ ~~. 1"""'l1_~S IP", ~ .. up
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~;a:-@;rd&nl ~~~ketr ~i~~ m~ tax p!'Ji,q ~(~-,[ when ~hq' hii~ ~~I 'barv,~' 'tb~ same ~tio~ 'on thUi~:iis!5Ye", ~IJ. whtch case he :rarn~s·l:hem, a()~mdiJ~-S,~O fh.t;:lr ' v:i~w-s 00, d'i~alQIUim¢mIDt.
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'wWcb lOne' can ti~kJe' ,auf"·' :Sf:I.~s~. Sllu:prise our:selvtes or d~~ijbe-;:t-arle:~,· (ijur$e:fYes~ ,ul~b :foo.l. .• ,a[~ w·em;lb~. wi1~to·..W'e may wisb ·~o ,e~tee;_Qlednd ,adm~fetll), 'Del a nt;b~'·016'- but 'Ui~l~_~v.=lt~ ilnfil[~ "a"t w'e" ""'!I" o... b,~ undertake 'fr;"II[' .t;L!..le'" "'n~J!i; .. hers v,,___:_~~~ ."·-~L Vb ,_u,~ iJJ._~'i_~' ~V~_..~
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ble mechanism, slnee the' ratkmal person, c-a;ncheese om", 'w:baJt he btlj'wes '~[O the 'be~,t.me'8JDS., ,As, ex.-[p:~aJnedalt'dt.e t=nd aL{,cl1~"lN be II" '[his beUefmay 'Wlel'~ erroneous, He' ma,':m'~ss, Qm~ OpPOBU'be S ~it·]·[e''Iii: , [n;.,. ;[o:t,l'jlm};h'~~ bv 'mi'r~~:t'~~k"", ~ ;ry~', :O'/FIi'I)~, '~i;[o, ~~: hu'mel'!irji'ili ~-u ,pll"'l'"~' ~t,'iI'ir;I'~V ~..,tIJ...,_, .. J" even be ,ratiot1aJ~to do SO~ :~f,a~~, evidence ,happell1is; te ~potll!t:~m t'he
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do :Il!()~ ream:,~;'th~nl~, Othello's 'beUef' was, r-a't~ocm;al,AJt: ,t'be ve~ 'that ~l! least, he should, have found, OU~ morM about wbat~ :D:~etn,o:na had do:ne., MO'[f' ,g,eneraUY',I''we' muslt lequjre nat ool,r thaJt 'be~ciefs, L~, [:~'~iiry~:i9I~ 1I 1'l'i;t·; resp ~;i"!~: ....: ... the '~I'Ii"~I~J~ evidence but i;:I!l~ '~:'~I,~,j;l eble u, u,"'" """,,, ~~,~L '~I~"'"'0' .... ~ the arneunt ~f [~:f~dd'Ili"iU [i"in;'m~i"i~'''''~ I'll some sense ~~t~j([~-:I·,[urn] be f.)G the iFI"'!lfiilift ha i"'iiid:'-, th ;.-.;;:,..,.:1,,:, "f1"'f'," ~-Jf'i;,]~'II~cj'I:"Ii[ii'Ji ';d;('i;.if'" little ~~,'\A~t"'ri,;r~ L'iPL,o:l< U!Ii;,n o ,11;;!1' !I,.II~, ~, !!l;,,'Y' ol!~!!l;,,~~o.!,~ ~Y!li,;l' ,~~U,I-,· 1I;o,.~,lu,""~o~"',~ .IUiJ"""
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ing too much evidence, U [Ihf' doctor's ~x'amriJ:rna'Jtion, ,IS too exha,u:su'ye;"the pa.'tle=at may die',. :L,etme ema'jbnra~eUnt, 't'he second af' these d '9.U. "g":e'l"'i!" l~~.~,.,.... ..... ..... Oilier. thi'R~~,being, equa], a dedlsion b~'Uke~~,y 'be 'beuer thf to
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most., Less d,[am.aJd,caI~" .., the' costs (Jlf d,e~~berarltmg leXC'f:m, 'tile :mar,y' benefits, Clofll!~est1fd child cu:'St'Od.y cases :p:rov1ti,e' a i'Ood ~mlgstt[a ~ tion.~ In mest 'W:est[em,cou.nuies '~odailtdlese' are ,diedd),ed, 'b" the
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gather ,aud the ~.O'ng'e.[, d!elifbe![',a.te', but W'e other th'rngs, are not: alw,a,ys equal, By the time 'we' hevereaehed a dedsJ,on~, the' occaSlO,D, te act may liia,ve' passed, us 'by',. The '~ltiel1t may be dead, 'dle:tii..rm sone '=~~~-,~=~,p-qQ~ d'F battle tnto barnkmc:IJ~~ :;:1' ~n.e~,aJje ,t'''''''''-' - -~--';I .. ~ ~~
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Co~lder [a,Ill£l;1I,"':s dedsion about bOiW much to b]y,~t i.n research and, d,€Y'~lo:pm,e:r:;!Jt.To d.edld,e :r.aJtionaUy'", t:rn~ :fill:1W, :m'~;sm estimate' 'the proba'O:~eGut:come' aFthe :i;raJ,ve.s~melW't.~ 'how l~kel'f ~t: 1'St'ba~,its roo.o'V'a.il,Vte' [a,Cliw,des 'w,mll.ead tn a 'proG,tabl,f; i'[IDo~a.''' ti,on ,= as 'wle:I'~. the jj,nv1-estmeullS, made 'by Q'dt~r :fi'mo~s, ~nd l;he' as, p[();bab~e [1Xl!1l'COme' of dlo~e' ifive~tment51" N'ow t'be 'ou~(jo\m~' ef Inlll(}Vali~e [~lct~vi:tt.es;ls :inherellJdy' ullceltain., [The Flirm(;8ooot 'iiQ.re;see'wid], ancr pred.st(1fl, w,ltiJelher i'n win. 11it. the ja_£~po~ [0([ come eu I~' ""°r-~""h" ~m-·;p.· h'~i.u!...__ ,.'O~!""J.';:t" the 'b'''''lIi'c'll~eit'O'fM'n'd'~ 'Il.!!'b gJ ~,v,~~, :t"u . iands ~" A"o~;!iil"ll~' I~~.~,c" _:;~_ tlii.0!l.t:..' ~ ..,L_:_~ if1o'f~':'!Ii[ ;i("-.If!Ii~,~ -'1. standV' {"han,6~nQ[ '~,&h~,O:~o~lJ' records are not MI .. - ,Ill~ .1C uast ·-;-;:ood, '"ffedl~;~\oo;, , ',1~"" ,'0 .,~ ~ - -, ", - ,-,~..!l'~ I"'~~~- ~ - ~
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other' 'Hnus did, U'nrl,e!f' 'w,i[[n~e:r-"taik;e\:-aJU <c)ondi:Uons" if:1mis. :i.8, erucial 'The more a finn =~. enr, .,'b= ~.~ . __ "~ _~_ ~, ~"" Invests 'f~, ~~~Ir-rh and ~~~vl~lo<::::-~ =_ U UI;e O~Hl"ate- '~~:~_:..'RJ:J~~~~~~ ~J., g;etit" -~ - mere~ :gr!)III,.' ~ .L~ otner " nrms U]!,Yi~SL, a -;e us: cnenees nof' - ~ !1.!!I,I'm(g ii''h ~ "" ~, .. ~ii, 'Ii',,; ~ ".'1:-. - c:::: " -"". its .~~,~~,~'~ it ,a, :~airg'e' amount, our :6uu has a poor chance of' w,lrnnmg,. the
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tn, :~nvles~ Uilltll,e'~ eur :nun should. hl'Vest; hea;vU,., Bil!]t, once' ,Igs'in", ,this :reasonlil"1lS ;a,ppUes, eq,uaUy' '~O the [orner
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w()u];d, d~~I[-ee Wi;1hwbaJt Ihafye;jwst said-. 'Tiler sJ1lue thaJl~, S.in~-e' a.h'V'Q,J'S have 'we lCr:I;owledl,€ StboiU'~: ,('hn~,usl[JuaJtii,o~~, the'
beuer eo use 'i"t..... '('OI-lUl ~nll.biecl:~v}e ro;babn~,t.v[e:S;t=l'maJ~es . . ....Q us ~ to ,'0 ~~~ '-'~ ,~-~ - ~ ~ .. ~ 1Ir~ fban, not to use :iJt a.t~ The: a:q:,iI],w,e:f:IDJt is :slfdu(ti,ve'" butt I: do:~,"t: all
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'd]iak'it I~vand" A'Umou-Ib we :bJ;ow mflllCh. ,ab(}~~'the '(;lY'Q!flJia,,~n 'dl.e parslaQ, GuJf~ there i'S no 'w'a,y' in "bk~fut 'W~' can p~,e~c''~os;et'he[ ,0111" informaJtiop, t-O c-ome "Up w:r~l1J.I re~iaibte~s~bjecl1:'i.ve : pr.i)lhabUiilty'
[of [a,W[D'r lrr-eak~ng out 'tiletween Iran, [8;0,(1,Illie''Umted s.tates w[ttdm, t 'dle :Ilel.t'sb[ maml!tttts ..'e: 'Q,o-wm,ed:ge' about the second decimal in a K :llium'bel' is, taken. by' :rJtself;. s!tn,rnly UI'~'IJess." 'Iniss. is not to den diJa.t sucm pmba;b~~i,'ti[es[can, be' eHcited. ,_ IO\nJI" to ,deB,' tbat: they are ~~Iajb~e and 'tlla:t ~iti~ ra [1i 0[!IJ3!I, to use 'the-ro, as ,a, bSlSj:s :['0([ ,I;Ctj,OU., WI~' can crffe:r. a p~;rnon. a Ich:o:tCe; betwu:ll; t,w,obets" One bet says that J~f'tner-e' is,it w[a'F be win get, al 'fll!'crUrSlnd d0U!~lr$ iQ11u.~'m'irse no~h'iiQS" The ,o:t'he.r bet ,~a;r_s; ll1ba~,he' .. ewin g'f1t a, dlf;Jusand doll a_n, 'wi~h a proha,bUit.y' of , perceo1t. and :m.othitDg: 'w,ith a Jli\obabi~h,y'oE I [00 ~ ,P per.-cenlt. 'Tn,evalue of',P 'for 'w'b:ic..b he b~ "iIl(URer-eut be[~'teenthe' two 'bets ,~s' h,e'S'~)ibj:ea[ve' ~
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tb'i~,.",~I["'," d),e,pen.5; betF~':~V me' moeedure usm 'for , ,ejLici,tb;uli hi ;~,~ d:~ "Vl~,i'-'~~-.'~~: ,on ,IS 'vane" F'~- ~~~.~--~ ~_~.~"._ .. '~'_..,,\o, '~f~'~ , ,', .'..... '!I!II~;i"'1r '~I '1,~'I'!IIl' I)... ,...... 0",:11'." u ad ,m·.~,~'t'l:1Ii~.I;:i!, "uil'IiJ'j!< '~"t,~ ~~,a'lliIi'!Ii~' '~ ,. an " 'iiC!, Jl,1" ""''''"', begi~"."~"1fIi1 1'!'~~IL!til, .u" "'"'~iIP~~W::'7""~" Il-_U.!i.. 'l'lLa';~iIi'IIi~' '!.IiI ... mueh low:e;r 'iban. it, 'Wt(Juld 'be' if W~ be,gall, wiltb, ,8bigll '\Value' ,o:f',~'
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'Im·,,· ...,pt~ ,y W " 1he costs ,_=~ "ow ",~"I'~U~' ~jen ", c ,', and 'benefits of' aJdditJoma1 l'mflml8'· " .. ~ "~ ~ ~~~_ 9 't~«Il., In ~~tu.i1!ti\Q!ns, ma,'t are untque, :n;ovLe~ ,and urgt:mt~,Iklt iSmt:,.. 'iog a baUJ,e' 'CU' hfdpiIrlg: 'lhe v],aim, of a 'Calr' a.c,ddellif bod), costs ~.~ II... ~ ~~ ~" ~~~t..,., _'i'---]' ," ~~iI''" " ~'k:o..! "', an:d ilJtIDE'llI,ts~ are nl,glui ' C,Y' 1JJIlUdalilli nere "'i JS, ,a, nS'...._::;"if'" ,aClt'lQg,.,," too soon" on too Utde 'I.munnatioll. - and, s, risk of' d,elaylFlll!liDtill, :~":is, ,~,c, 'II'~I~'::. 'f'f' 'We krn::w m~Ii::, .. "', 'iOO ,Ia",e_, ,it, ',0'.:: =ile ~. _=il(Le" w~ eeuld tell Wlhlch rislit 'was 'dle lalj-e-r - 'but, we' ba,v(!' no 8ro'onds, :[Of rO)fj,onalty' d,et"td~ng: w.bedteJ: ~ "'I'r "", that k ~d' '"h' nave to a,Q1~, . .m()re to ns ...acqumng mar i(u)riN'~ie':;le'" 'T':i-.. Vi·e ,~U~'5I~ , : nus
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inde~eu.IJiiinacr" Since' I canno~,h!o:pe' 'to ma~e an ,optimall, d.«i,'" : sl.orn~,I: vril~,have to de witb one tlurt is j\~'good ,eno1l_gb.,~'" When ~a'ti.o,Il.aJ choice ,i5, ,ind,e~e~t'e',. ~some ,other m~ha" .. ~'Il ~'!'IJ~, ~ ""ifr' msm must tal!iJe up IlU~' S,lac.:., LIL. ~~ COli;'" b....'me ~ ~~~ ."nar ~- ~~]d' lue t'l!..," pnD£'iI,:pJifi!' 6:1
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~f the :Ill'fl '~,WO['t~ RO-~., ~ da~~' W-f ,~adl.of th~ !last(ijo'Wf t~~ ~ det~", nUIne dit~ ~~: nt, d~tortimS; a cil:i~ of ,cafiC~F' ~not ~ ~,rm,g It~~ ~ls, a-~ lliic' d~~!~red to M :~4i~1J 5'0 S46'·5,l.t· S4·1Z_4··,6~5.~ ;$f.7'~i'7~i14" iir'ld ~hf(Xy''''~P'.,M,enzet ,Ml3it:ai;' '~M\!, MOT4~' [Ch(:ficn~ Ntw Ha~., C(!nm.~'Yial~ UI!rl,V:e~tJ ft~'1 1,'83'1 ,6),. :p.
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we do II»!, ha;'v\e ·8,tb,enry' of 'wbalt people' do ·when. '~bef 'w\ot:lld Uke' 'tOI a;tt~[,a:tiiolla.u, but raj~ioi[[i.al.cho~(1f' .~s,~.ndetel.u:riin~Jite'., One : ... '~=,.~ ";h"'C' - .. - - - ,-,,,- - - - d' 1- ;,- .-.- ...:I L 'h' ..l -.- . ,;,. n" ' ll-ilJ1U11 ~_I~eJsO'me!lun,eS·r o :~;S. [0 1lJI,~n.rt ae UtUif(~~mBna~' ...1.'urnan ·bf.~:mls:baJV:€ a, v erry st~"lIj8 desire -;'0' haJv,~ reasons :['0,[' wba:t :they' dtl and 'Ind i.nd,@lt€.l.nu;nacy· 1:uu~d t~ aCiCl~pl., The,' lend. t~ ·s'h.Y' y'!li'~.-", . AiJI'.JJ '. ", g'",,'g., .~To.if'L.~ .c:.~!.:c~i n.IriI1l' 1 'O'.-,n, rP,..,t(.II·illfi~:, (!"lI1;O:'P:ii!i!C'it;!'!i~ ·~::,,·v.": Ind I~t~~~'i" h "'-fiJI. lU l'
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I'a!tton~il[,t,", The' :ftr'mt task olf' a ~_b,eiJlY mf f[adoii1ial ,c.b'olI,u is[ ·~O[be d~u about :~ts, wn~~ .~hllU\si..Som~t:h:rnes- [a'sPascal·sa:ld. 'llo,tibtm('il I~S -~.. -- .-" ~" o ~~,-." -.~, ._.II! .~ ·,··,,8 I.; more :r.,a:U,onal. 'tha,n '£hie abdica.tiolo ~f rlea~on-, 1-- .1,YiI!_-_- ,":r ,rm,s ,"~'n" 1!6'.,.;,a~O:~.la_..,],~f dlc.a,leu -.'. ..~ev~;s O:·1...er fn--,t 'Ot~ i' Ill"' can '[ee '11- -- - A at vanous '~I ..II." :1:11 FlB.· :1'1':I•..So.ID,etimfS[ :people :£3Jil tID choose 'what th,ey believe' to .. be the_ 'best means ~o _ =_ ~·h.elf dUlles,. If ~t hs ~--['. .:;bi ~ ._ . _ _". . __ ~ ~_ rea'~lze ~ .~ ~ ~_ _ _ .. iiI,ppellS .. ¥
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Dth;mll;:,e ~ 'by' pu.~ng the w.rull1B bllllt~lln.- jlt~:is not inalti,QfiJall. If ·dtey kO()tW.IIljI·ly' .a!nd del:tb~ef,a:te:I., ct ,a_;gahlsrt theIr d,tsire~~ 1~,. a :iit
S·uppose[ l a.m, mffer-ed a ci,garfl@,tlt€ when I am. ·i.£f.rDg 'lo qUIilt smoklfil,. On, 'ha]arnct~ :my des_b~s· ten me tv :retlJ:ge'" a~d y:Clt, :1 may
v1i~n~lraib:i~itw 1." to ,d,e;sires_ '~baltI _ .1 - ~-- !!i'I!~~_V •. ~'I!r..'YII'l!r.· """" W,j:ii~;~l;,~i" ~'i'l-;ICC ·t·"'.:, I~=:'~:'·:," •. __ " _ "" _~" _ m:v1i;j]llr~,i'"kf[l('iiwi~.cI:~~·~s, ~a_fI;,.....,.,[J_uaitl, !l;.U,f: u.es.~.res .• 'l'na,t: pCdDt: hi. the [opp0 site d)~rlectlolO., When the' 'weaker' de,csi~ 'w'j'Q 60t,· i'n mJlI:-S;I: 'be' 'be,rnU:5lf' they' are :~([I,sa.m,e stns~ stI\Qim;g~iI," _,
b;u~. ·Sitfiflf.1(Q,'ef as :sheer' :p:cSriCm,e tum'l~." lence ..III 'Lne :n€~.t.cha.p1:e:l' :1' disrus:s a special case' of' weakness· ,~f w.iU tha,t is C!1.'lllsoo. by Idle greater ~mm,ed~al¥ 'the pr-eseD!t a~nd. of
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as
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l'rrartiOll_ai be.'_barvi,or can. also ·s~em. :mo.m :~.[[,ationalbe~j.dS:i'M,lijslt , ICilns~jialOuS!]V- 'beUd~it can be 'su)bveft[ed tbe··Ir-···--·!"!l-··~~··,l·-~·· are 'nassion:s: ilhe~' _"_ '~r'~"- ~ --'1""';"] .. 'SI!l!n:n-Ased_._ serve_II!!I 'W'~shf:ld 'dlinkilno ~ me' tendencv 'liO beUev-e to ~.~ - '-"-~- ._. - - -~ - --0 I-"-~r\v'~'-'-'--' . .. - .. \-I~,l .. _.. -_ .... that the [adS. are as [ollie w-Q1tdd 'fJ'kethem to be..... ·a 't"iiP.·~[al~~le[ '~S,
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I·MW.I~t.] dr~u:'~ ~t.bocl1~~·,. !J .moo~at~ly· v,arn.~Qn.., I: IIhiH :ii. ~s:m~~ nn;-~ ... l~ke as ti(f1t to :rcma iili1J sUm." .BU!1:1: w.is!tiru I 'w,a~J I.ess· ·vari~. [~B,~t do .~·th~nk. ,I'h;t~:omy'
m: liiik1e' ilt..
w;t~e:n wisb 1
fi:O[
eat cate:?)
,~ . lit :is. R'G!'t a ·qu~'fon of d~ljI1mralt~Iyado:pilq tb.¢ ~l~f tbill)t~h~:[aas· ,!i'iw~ as 1 .2 . w<i}'i!li~dI~~.~m. M be, A'S ~:~id .m. Cb3~~' lit 011~' ramlot,df\dd~' n ~l~ : c ~ 3JI:f:y motiC' dlla_n ()!~ [~____n ded.d'e eo farget. lailbe~'•.~ me~ha~5m o~~~ p~n~.Qu.~". 't1:~lrlnd.mY'~Jack,,~~ ru.3 "&15, d.M'S;:Il~, ~xp:laJjn the 'LlClld:O:Il.C.1r'0f *e 1n:~ailll'J.edin1iii~1 ~ to be'lli!ev:e' ~I .ings; are ,as·h;e, 'wQ:,wd. ~i[(:e .em. ~~~ to· be, .~ ,a~og\(t.c efc thii!s~-~ mem!lm~m. ls; t~Dd~~·. m_Uon¢(i, in. (\~P~~1"t ~o whal; ~jH ,caoo~t ~t. jOcS! bocallS(';' [tlo.e [("sonO'l. geL h. :1 d~ .1"I.0t; knQ·w' 0f [a'o,Y' 5aJ1ili~["tdlO:I:l' e:x.plaIla)ti~n:of these sel!f~des~l:Ujlv,e'mpeD:!iii;ties~ ,
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Il)Q '~[ol'€!lthe_rwi'm, o;the~ thJap 'mil 'we would, :I]ot 'w:lsh to lose
A diilil'n:ressbl;i!Ii mu..!llirnol!1 '!It~m ~.t'W'"i(;~""-=:'il'~:::11 :-;:-"~~,. ~L.-~"~.'I:-.,::. lllul, ,~. I' I... c;'~:; t-~~:·v~IAe , ·~[~-w~· '"b ~¥"k" ~a_ ,PS-'('c..'~o'"'0lf Ui~'~_Ua", !Il-I!,.,e ,~u!ll
'~\Ii\f'h,:''f:ii; ,lIh ..:",., iIr.a;~~Sj,,":"",~ 'Ii-~~it,J'.'IllI.JIg:Ii'n;i'liml·.'I-' c' ,_ '1''1'',. iii., ~"";~'"'~-U!v'"""'!I,, •. ~
u'."'"
[bel ,B'~Ytey ii:-,-:: IIUre 1': '11'il~~ ~ ,plDllrC,ptL£ ,u~~..1i IUy _:_--.~ [ead~,y '--;-~\-:;-::-"'ic'll:Jr.
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:ra[~ile.[ r"f--C' 1"' b.::., ',::11 ::.:~ II'::" 'LJJ,!lan 'LIUie ,pllf~:a5[Wre '~Ol)'lic',. Tk~ 8l'e1:sadder", 'blU't
-~ -11'~~~~C'
1
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'.' ,'~ I, ,"' re W,~.~,Q[.'. ' a Irneilther'manic oor =,r de-n:ressed .....t,e:-ndl '~O [o-ve~finta~,-:-, tb-=-;':c ,~Ib,·ll'· ' ,,~, ,,' ., ~."L,I:,elr ~,., ai(lll, ~ 'li,es amd: 10 beli,eve' other '~nle tbint, D1.0lie bi~:~[t~' 'them F'~'~~' U5'~ " of 'man, dlley :11),'fad: ,(fo., Jf 'we' are ~;o a(;.hireve arlI,rdun,g: a.; aIU~ we :mu;s~1ireUev-e'we' cam do mare tban we I~n.. , ., c ~ A d ,egifi. ,0:, r :'.!~,,~ I., '[acl'~[].~, "
~=~~=~~
w~~=-~' e'~~Imr"
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Ervla). 'by ,caring SUI:mlllclJ, 'for' some' 'tb~:~IStma,t: 'WIt' lose ouI' :heads about: 'LIlt-w. I: :blve :moFC' '10 S81}" alboU't th,e' enUJinOflSi in. ,c:hap~er
V[[,'
the [rb·~1i~'I·i,~~F;e;, I_~ll~. ,A_ ]",~:If-'II'1O-111Ia:~, I ?:~u'~lr~' ;if!Ii;fl]~'ir~n[Q:~, ]1i-_lll,.v~l'!_I!1J u _]'ii)a,~'E'~~~n~Iij!', .. ~ u Mlay lie' badly' seRlw, 'by' m.e' 'bellers they gerne_m,t~~ are beuleI' 'we'
'ru;<:'ID ILV ,D'U ~~u~=~'~ ~,~
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'tefS\_, our :m'~nds,8j'r-e:su'bj;m to c-o,gm't]y'e Ulll__;osiJOrlS, land, 'raUaci~ , 'IDat, :balvt 'been 'cbanfJd, in, raSOOa;tiftl d,elta~lllJvter.'the past '~e'n~r
'ye.,s~Ms_n,)" were :fiitst. ~m»rt$tta~ed, in lexpeDmt!lltB land! d :I,'e-rf«OMni~~d,~nreal ..,life sitl!lll1[jl"jrtS" ,A lcommon [~rro;f' :lS to
:6IJtem,
artii<'''';::h .~'~L:Q-.. 1~)('\@;i:!'liI'iv;t'!,~ "-A-~~-~"·,·
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b~':'the '::-l~'~:''"' , Y ,.It!. cur rent, :pe;rfbll'lia.D()e ,of :tl.ntIS land bliSuffi(iC!D!tl,r by' tbeir pS!s,~reeortis., )'0 'me' ).",2 ~ 'p.l7e'si,d.ellitlia1 am~iO'n tt-aimed~ ,r~l1:e~,- ~ ,'L[-e ,~, ') ·~~.·I - ~~ .. ~ - ~ - '" ~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~ c ~~~~~~~,r""'"'e'~~'" ~~-~ ... ~""'tIi"'-"" dfiJaeti, tbat: ,Mic,G0¥e;m a:ndd nO:1; :IO;se 'h, :mDR' '[harD. ten :po,m't'S"
'OInCft-, ,F' - ~ ~
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..
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:m,'die po]is ,and, 'mIt, in twmty ..,:f{)11J[[' '}I€a:r.s ot a, sin.e major :pol, had, been, 'w,rans: 'by' n mOK man. 3 pereenr, but 'the' wildllf' enditlsjls tic: a~wds;difY
'PO;i)DIf;S,
- . ~- ---~ ~ -_~ ~--il'~d'-I t~ ,awo, e,yes,c:oun~~' ·i1 V\['more, if Ollry[)!!Ij'lrN,,\~l!!Iiil-r-~u' ,~lleme-iFfIi:t:;ij;ii"'iJ,:: 'nt""';:r:I~n~, ,~f s;taJosiflkal mr~rcmce' Jl;~ wJIJ.Jlv- rr~, ~. -,F'~J~=-~-~lF'~~~ ,j"L ~" IUle-U'
I ~;&!'!ir!r'~
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i~s,arrl!od'llf'!common
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[cul:pFi:t The' ~sr[ae6 ~b~ force CI!~, Olle d~' nosed ,thait" wh-en ·p:UrJtts 'were cri,ucizm, [alter' 3, bad ped:nrmallm,f
m=-,-' usua :yl, ktlwf:r the 'next ,-~-, d"d ,ey "-Tl::-IU':;' "r. ~~= 'Um.e, 'When, ,t.:"'- ~~-- ~ ~- [ftr,a, ,i!l!Ii'- - ~ - - -- --~ 'I'i:raised - ~- P<;QOO
=
:siol)" [TUe' ]:Ds,tnu::tnn, oo\llldluded 'mi~, mti'Cism is [ele'w,v-c' in, 'train ... • : 'I: . 'L,'I! 'I!.. "&-' '. ~ 1l...' , ,, h lID\S puou~ :presuma~\lIy' li'Y :I!OI:QD,g taem to (lomce[[litr:aJ~r", w~el-eas ~:~~;:-t-;::- has ' pmlse .",. '-'the' [crnnOS~l-e' eHoo' 'nres:lmui!b]v b,u' ;soo:i]iD~' dlf!m., ",t"":r" lr~'~~~ ... "'~' ',I ~,I <t'"""" "I!!!i' '.' 'Tmev we;rl~' net ,a,wa;re of tb-e' :!ilmo:fe staltlsitltcaJ, ,~\ ~ '1h_Bi1, a 'i'rlind~le I ,r
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:good :perFnnuancf' Ie:nds so 'be :fblluwed by' ,I poorer ooer whii~ea bad peliouumce lSi on 'the' avt,rJarge' [u:l:lO \1¥,m " [Ill 'better one. Base'ba~l,:players 'w:bo, ,aJfb~r'an ou.gmdj;~B'l.y :I,ood seasollz. OJ) not do as, wen ~iDth,e next are oft~n u~jm[stl!y'eri1it'i2im, by'
Vl@iJ'
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--- - -~, .. - ~ ';:'11.('1(11-..1 rrasners OF ~-~~ as, '1I..-... laJUS, u.:;1~,~~ ~,r"';'~!Ii~,
["tr'ihD
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:irraluonaL :5b:t.ce 'tht: 'v,cry' :noti,gn of :r,a;liii,gll!a;~, lind :iu[il):uul'N)] de'"' sires is c{JttEli!,ested 'I: be,llfl wiJtb~,an [examp'le thalt, :is re'iall,ve-l,,'
'U~1II'I'~~li"ilili"·.;n,~,,:.Q;~:i,~c·l_Jj, ,I.I,HI. ~ U~=all ...~,a ~ ~:fc'~1?'1I1~1~!!' : .1=5,,"V.\IU.~L'Jj'!I! ~_lJ.,.;;;I~=IJ!P.
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me' l~nl: run. t~l [this [example' 'suggests a, [ttelnitl(r,o of' Faid on a],
desi "" - ,..~L·, aIle 'Ujes.~[es,',' " ,..I-"i ' ,es.lfleS~ "I;ILey
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:FOf a. person with an :im-Il, COllmtu,·, ,~,n,.:Ii"& ,ajA~"" la-'W1l1'~r--, 'n• IPlll,lJ..U,I_! ~~~U ,I' "iP.·T·t·~ '" F'.J~~=I~I]J.~_:~tl,~~!.I_&~UJ IU~,~.Ii..IIi~,a'
.QC'~nlfi' AI~~~'FiI;tD.4.,,:iIItW!~~.~ = ~~~ "." ~~ f
~,~'~ -;-::,~'~],' ,r Id be :-=,'?,'~'i~~:~~" '~:U.'~'. ~ II4'v~ 'wilth, '~(eF O'n:n~nl!mit;~sl 1l.1. ~"" ·~O'([~1:r~'UIi' -" ~" ,r,I"'....,'~~_DI4,"~ ~me' coneem far 'th,e iiu.t1;l:rt' :is,meed:oo~ 'BUlt om .refl,eaiom tb:e'
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I~ ~~!~'i(""~ ,~ ',.." 1111l_.\r.-JIJll [I_~ liI1I,~:gFl~"II'U" '~1:!'i'b~r~','~:~}~' ~~Ali~r'~l!1.i-_I" .~-, . .t._1_1M1~ \i-~t'-",l
"i!!'
,'-'~=T-:-~d_, d)el1l[l!~ti:f'C :s<.'unewba~ 'bw d~SnnD'Disbin~ ame.n. the' =_" ~,~u:n ,-"~~, .-~ ~\~ , ,J'~~ -~ ..iEi! 'betwee:::q, tw~ meooJlr:1i'is-ms Ithat haee m,O!l"il:' Olf less 'the SOim.c out,,·, ... ,'L, 'h.:ll ~ L ,;,. 'Ib, ',.ill ~~ ,;, '(:om.e. '~:D,p~~,~ one ,i~l3!nU t'l:ilei.\e' lSi, l~ie 1Ul.oOI:n;~IJO'UJS,!Ila,l};la~lGI], a O ,'-rnd' :-,(r~ns;tm~mrt~c;, 'dlJ! oni)fiH~']llilt.'U' 'set tb.at, is nl,u;sn~Slltgd:in the_ a____~ a~IU_JeEl!,.o ' _. . !It'F .... '""~\.iL]illL~~ ~~ ~~~~_~ .. ~ ~~.... _~_... ~ ..~ f:aible lof tOne 'i'o;x and. 'dIe sour gra:pes,. This ,ta~k€~ ~'he rf()ml~,,typi'·' ,canV~',noit, ot" up;T.-adiDi 'wbat ~jfjU~ cam, :g'elt~:sU!cb as, the :SWRltn,e:ss, ,nt~ ~t;r,i!lr~\II~",''i-~m''!~'s' 'lle;m;ifjl;ji'fIi""}I. Ib~'·I~ ;d' 'ArqiitFi,p'if.til..o[i'iiiFJiiilil!! wl'lr ""i~ ;ii"fIIirn~ 'C:-, ~or ;ffIIi[ !!I'D"" nan ,I,et, Whe'D, Ui\Ui' 'm'imd~ ,tplaiy' ffui~, ind, of tri.€:ik on, 'us" :lIltwould. k '~~~:t.~'ifIi,'~I~;~ '~~la~l~ '~:iIt~'ii'jj!i!i!!"'i'jli,'I!ii'iiji'[li,~'d :""'~"([~:iI"!~1 Ic~~~~1iiFi,'fii;I~, t<'.;f!I,J ~~r't!!' ~_~~~_ ~JILlf~ •• ,'tifiii'~' ',......;;i!CU'~1i"~,~ u~ l-:U ~~,.~r _ lllllr';','
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Conver,se:~y',~, ~m~ar:i,'Ileople w1'M 'De' :re'latfV1ely c-omteolL because ] ~'I'ley ,e:ll!tt:I1'atn. DO die sire' for' :freoo,mm and :fi~nd,a'm,sorts of :Laull:S with ~elue:;, that loHler. itt, It woold 'be' ab~IIrd~ F th'ifDk.. to Ia,Y' tbl!t~ d1ti@':[0[U11;r are :rna,doo8.1, and ,the la,tit:e.r r~ad"Qf~ul~~" A'~w.J)u,IIm w_l,eu of '~lJt;a'li~ta_riBn felimes axe' 'wnot Hl loc~k u.p d:~ssid~m!lS lnl iLif'i;"in'~''-II;~-,!l': ~r-h"ry.I'.,~flll 'n,o":'" ;!I;£i~Qn~' 'ii['b:~i[r"d l~:a.p~'i'IOiI?~\~. 1f~,l'!lj,;._U~gIL~~'~ .~.lt"!.l'g\Ii""!I!j~~;~~ .. "'~ r,1I(J.~'Y!'IYi~u ,~,~~ ~ '~,1;.,.II;,.l!l;eif"!!lo Ill- ,~,~.! 1r1(it"''Mli',r~~r~~iI'1'':;~
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if' anYifJ}idfiJl~' iualtional On 'die o~ngr .band~ 'we' can dleUber.ajt~ILy' [cl!lJ~lth~ajt-e good sitd,e' oil' w'hat 'we' can, barye and uy '[0 reduce ~~he
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:m,etbod, ~f 1';~U~,Qna) ~baJ'[,a(:teit':plaunhl\8 il~hr,~~,tedin ,Bll)dd'bis_m~ '1;,...;;:., ,"'iI'-: 1.7' • n nus ICoIls,,_ma~ ~-f ':It'j':Ji.i11 uy me ~,fi'c"~·""" an i 'If..,~" ,~pl,nOt'Z:~L .O~'I::' i~'It":~'-C"""-:~~-~'.;,l ~;;n:Olit'S --~-d' uy !f"~"'~-I (L ~aj,~Ojt81~
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~baj[ su:p;po;n~r.s IOJ 't'tlLtaBta_riall feliimces: are raltioiuJ" 'W'e' w3uJd s,t~lft,,t!i.otwe'vw", heve
S8!y'
--~if' '11i---~'il~-' 'F'~'----~' 'il1I"~el~Mii"'II'~',~ n~'ii;1' '~"m· :no" ,1\1ilOW uOi~y 'f ~ ,~--~,iI'il~;i!i lI;Ik-"~ ""i"ii'i;"i,r-r-ndILO [es.uI,Vl!;,' IJ_iUll'~ ~~',!i~U'_!tl~!l,.~~~., ,!£MiJlli:i1i' ~I:_;"l~:s.~Yled,esjrec;5, {-am :p]a:osi'bl,'f be' said '1;01be :~R,alio(m1I'l:r 'because th,ey if! self~de;reaitifJI;,·By 'y:iddm--l to ~pontanei,'t'r' t.ocla,y'~,I :red'l!lloe' '~'he 1i'.II'~
be :I:~liocna.l,!,
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40
concerns ['Or the :f1ll!~UJ[f,t•. Also,,," 'dtere :~Sl· IlJUiii' an :m~UE ~.yiDI, maiJt desires ~~at~ [ur 'Qom,e bllltt(t 'bein,s: by d'~s_r'~ultable ,causa] :m,e,cbatdsms~ (,'peralili.(g behind tbe 'b,a,ek~f ,;11persfiD, in : B. w'ar.y' ·tna:t he wo:uld. baJVt~ 'been aibanll~d mfbad. he' been. a.W,IR of'it" ·K-f' irr-ationaL i,8! cTnesee~a~m.pJe~s DOt. ·amgU_ht. '~OI, cile:fini,,, do nonsponteneoes
tion, but dl;~' do sl!l.gg~S)t that the place o:f reason a.JiI1hJ. mOR be'
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p:bflJasophen and :samew:h.slJt WtmJ-rl'lscf,ll!t, ,of tite' :isl!and, :(0, 'WI:.. ·~iam.Goldi;Il(I~S;,Le,ra' if!/' tht Flia ,_ :peo;ple'Iive i'n the' 'pr.eseroJi1 and ax o1llJy' ,abeu,t tbe'R1seJ,ves,. As a feS'1!l;lt", dieil U~Vles,,~, :H,obbe~ts lQ
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:,00'(', :nI!Sty'~ 't)m.tbdl.. ,aJudi '~I"'I\io ,.l :~'han;",j"~1 'k[i.i,o,~,p, s~c~,eUesare ~lil,:d'le' 'i-:k NI!) ,~I.ieLJ~ajt, :L.;;:. Oil U:ll1na_a,r 'T':10.. 11.0 r" ne as d,ncribed 'by a, :Slociia;~ il!_[1jtrnl-OPO]0g15t, who ~ta,y~, w.~d:!l, Ib~m 'i~~',iI);ii"il~_loiIli -';iIli;. are "rl'o·-·~.~Jj,l ,~ie ,""~iifi'~;g; t'lf'Iilr:'te :~~,Ci'i;'oiEi!' 'O:--'~nature ,.' '~I'!'mr- g_.~ lIr'- .•~,'i!il,"~l~, !I!IJ.~ ,-"I~~a~ as '~Iii?W IL:111~ tlL g~
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even they' displa., ,m~.nimal,:fnitf:ll;s ,af. :scU-R'Sttaint'.l, ,A, mLsj'o:r task. of 't'he :mdJ~d scimces, 'is, '~O e:~,;Uarin 'w'm, we are DOt: In, tbr'@' :sta,ne' 101: 'Ra!Ulre.,:2 :s,e=re I: -shall (l'ODsi,d,er JOlflslsi'i' - me- ab~nt,y'~,O'De' monhr8Jtoo,by :~,onl;,.tenn,consequences of aC[i,[Ul ,_ ,I)S,I p~ss~ble' x pla;nad 00, ofself~:[-est~,tdnt, e Other ex__,la:",
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I, I '~l\(,; ff,rQ:m, bi:s: ,a'C~llnl: I'D.rclllu!' :Ilf'.xl elli,1U+ ,2: Dds, ~ld, 'm-'=aiD,l.WQ .'i~J'S" fbt :i~'Wle' ~;o:rQ!!lt: ~~~ ' afiQ~l~,)' ~'-e~' were lilt Itu!' :sta.J-.;:'of' ~11a:li~_j"~" , ,~' did, 'we ;~: Q,;oo~ of U7 :~M. 'wl1al: prevent'S ~'S) -1~..a;·--~ .~ -.~ .- (-~ Ii." .. ,-t.- 1"",,-,-' 'i-)",' ...... , ~I·:t . 'b' ""ill, ,,, .. '...__ ..... Ai ria :~H1i :snw,s: :g(J~Q' Jln I 101" 1!li!',,",lJI!., :~dlQ ' ~,.I. J.n~ nfS' q;Ue.~"-IDIll ~s:.li1Ieu~ ~I!~~ m ,....ijj;!i'iI~., -,~~ ~~t' . . -,: 'I",~!I!:t.~. ~C,'F .,..,."!, :of'!i,,.,I'"f' f~I'lI!, 'ill!, :"1"":" ~i~~ "'--'0: _,_u_, [I' )1., ~~~, I~li!!~, 1!l!I.n. ~~iI.GO!!Il, !I~'IlIiII ,ill """1,1, llilIiK ~ ... " 'rr:- ..~,_ ~ ~-- -,,*-,~~ -,.. ~ 'I: ~I' ......,a,11, ,3i1Jtm.lml ,aili~ Mmlilil:llf,- n'O:l1iie_~s.:I!!~~,!l!!!",a!llo!i!Jmi',,-,... ..1 .• ~,-- -' .. ,_."11 ,~- ,'11.. " .", -,,-·-'1£:--'10. _~~" -'liiii'-~',J!' ,~~, ~~ iIiICiU ~1i~pIU J! 100.,., ai..J;ru
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:rumra.miJ.,~" Il :r-equircs, :SlUD.e' albU~t,', '~o ,poistpone ,sr,a;titfitaititiD., A:t the' other fr.xtr.-eme, Jell. us' :s;un~'....""'... that 'he attaches; I~i~~l'-;I"(-'I~G'~~:'" 'it"',t." ,"1!,ua ,Impo:[
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aU ,eam in, his :1U:~.,7 ,might: then a:ppeat as, :if :ne sb,c;uld It opt for the' Ph.,n., since ,jlt, :1ii,Yesbim, srea,t'el" to~aJ we~faIe'(FVB th€, "eriod ft-om, t,w'elllt;:-: to s)xr':'..~ -- 1]h--.e m__a~ 'is; that: he '~:l;;[n:lfilt net ,ti,ve~ ~~ " ".0' Jr-~ ~ --~-y ",,~~y ,1Jlt.~ BD,
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.,f Ra'lld 'wbi~b tilk,es mbre- eske, ItjlLl't,~Jt.does 8'0 with no a8~isrtan(ie d' ~'t}"I~" ',' .. eS:'" __ .", ~ _ d "mk' e·__. .~.~ '0' ,.[[\0,., ,me._: ~ ~r~, ,m..Qf'~:"C)IJ "Ua,'Un,g'3 ,I .eas: ,aJ~~ ".01,1 .1l1;gl' qgae~~~ Dlo:kiliJJ!II' dm. addtimocn~ ad!ul't\f.ry ,a;l1dsam'ttUf.i!;I. 'In mapter .X[~~·
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d,enit!ist :£0[' r1aJrnua:ry 2,I not '[because' I: baJ"'~ ,I '~ooihac'he lnlJt because I ·t'bibli: it IS a lood idea to, dl.ecl~, my ·Ieetb. :r'€11L1ilad,,',. I
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die' ·1'nt~maltl{)nal.MI(Jn~1", fall' :[f'Und;,fO'undin,g fathers Pla.y' ensure ~baLt.·tlle c()mti'tlJtio~, mer creare Is bard to :(~ang~'"so [as ~.~ l)iIl~V-elIl.t~ it.ne.r.sJtlo.ms l3Jttt
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'fmm ·Vi.~~dbl(g d.e:mlagD,~ue:ry·~ (Jl) 1brfse su:~ajl:a;lems.(an be oos:dy~ UD[areseem eYf'Jlits ma'y m.. ike a 'DIe' ·wish. I :bad n.!l)( bbu:k,eO. ,out some oppnrttulhitesl, UI,;s:~ mlS'h!t regret 'being bound to m!l~t ~f':m~; hiip (1)mes, in{l('J.l ~ -dl1ng~r[oiUrs 'W,ll'te'rs, 'Wit~:his In.ell. c.:ann.(Jl :navi,gate (Jln ~h,eir'o,w~n.. The :m()J.ley I have :S3V'e,d, 'bun cannot tnu€b :m..a,y 'be' 'needed ·fJOlF ·a_Il.imponant. operafion,. 'U'n'~esIs am I,el.lou't 0'(' I dn_g [dWc :(0[' a. :£ew d3iys :my :fum. vriJl. :10 'bankmpt~ TO!' [ed,e:ral :rleseN~' 'boa:r.d may tum, i'iA'Jto a 'basU,OIl of jJI1I~pons:iible :mn:lle~;rr ('BO.·se~=:-~at~~~"I!I.. (';O'~I~I:5lt~r~itFo[l become ·dle t~Si[lIl~ ,]'. of.• , rhe mas:t , .. TV .~~mi.'Tbe' .n . 1. 11 .1.. . , ,. can, " . ,. . . 1· . ., .r' .. [OrV"ell" 'd1e presene .. s.ldld~~:nl .. ~aJter. B~I])Je;r.a.tions with Farws th:iJt c, ~, hr:- Vt~· '11C;'~'~I OD.r nreu, .hilie,~r tU.'I!;;L.JU. ness, I...,J~i~ ;~~~:~.• ':r"~]F~ :::.~: ;'~~·;;··I·;~fli =a·~ ,Io.ng. :'f~(·];'(·~'..l I'~::-~ic-c . ~seful .. ~~~ ,II!.iIrealll,Y e 'U'c~ :,s.ses: WOUIIU
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d'~I6't\4--.i:IId- t"'f'-,i"i;m'" "~'-_--'Ill ,:_)!I.;~-~","'.: rrom ,lm;pulI,"" ,. 'I!o.,,",'''' --' ~L. ~,iI'il'I!-i,- ;1:/;,.,11 ~ I!' '1;11 II... "'f' 51Vt!: ,liia!VlInf ury me :lii~;~b;l!jil,:s,pea~r. ,0.. 'w,II])a'n 'W(ll!i~u ,1:I.ppern, :ILc ~ : dre~',ai~,W,i1iuSI ,aacd i!m~ldsiv,elL~, to be ri:~!d.and c(Ym-~I!l~s;f~ye" I" II l~ III '~end ~ lr'
;oI"'!!'L-~~,"""';i[Ji'" !!I,,!lOO,g~!I!...;~~'~n,A F"'"'~~~~~P__.l!1t'=,;" ,g~~Q nP'-!,i"'in'<':II'II~t"['
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also be 'very'
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[thai[ada: types; ,_ :rid,t):tD b, dutY',t :hard OmJ themselves and (Jm,~ [en;, 'WUI~ ,JaJnJ~~' d!~d~d 'th~ir' :Fm.a~imas, ~~,NreV1ersQf[e~' ,a :
:sins1ie' ,e_~te,pti,on.
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:Freud ,ro:imm, 'tb~ 'te.lJlUJ, 0\·'$11lpe.![ItSn"" to de:Kribe 'tile :pl:-(i1bibitions ,and :pr.-esmpxI,ans tha't keep 'Us, in :~In,re'
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'dle '~Q'ta'fl.f :m,yopl~ tl'fl['Ces, of [fuel ""ld,;!!i' 1" and, [(l'(JlDr!(~'I'ts'~~~ ,dr::ect~>~es[ o( the ,Uit.'... -~. [I [S:-Ir.lnp~l:)," :~iiIJ, The' [iErlllllnil0 ..... .\l"'tilL .1:[ ,.lVi .\, , ... L mOMJS,
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indliridua] see'_b: ,liOO:.5e h"",hi.'~, wili,cb ,aJlO'ws, him to :irndu]I~' Wrn~lf. a 'hilt: m:t'hGut 'fear of' 'ulI1ra,vel'tog, ,a ,ca:[i![llU, CO~'S-tNia:ed
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unton"i~lw:part ,oF the mod" :1,arm oot S,111tr.-e' t'hri_s, the :rilbt 'Willy '~O loo'k 8,t: tn£, ma;~ter'" is
't,~ the'
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Wi: ~" ibm fRet" 'll8Bft' Gff.' am:nais~le' dtslrt :wt ~:ter,. b rd, tQ'~ :m1nd",
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'1'!'i~''I!r;-'IIIi"': :s.1~_~ 'IJ.!Ii.[ihu., Ii ,'!kcW.N, ~~ a!I ,·c"I'[l'""Ic.. :~L "'''''~ ",' '[,,1 can
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p.a~li'U~ :iOOaID~ii~. the' ar;proKJlt. in: dUll' IL~X!I; 'su,lB~r~, ~~" h [ran ailso be' a plll~ely 'i'mdi,w,h!l~'11 '~Q~et,
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'uom., lFOIF 'we 'me, mture '~Oinflluemre amo:n ,in die' pres.enJt1 :iJt:m'U[Jst : :sQ1IDellow be anucipilll,OO, ,in. 'Ole P~Dt 'duuu,a'b, 'me D'ledi:UiDl of'
eansdousness. T.beIle :is :00 erig,fjD..a W~'are ,carpablr. ,of f@J11l" ~tn:guncnnsdous rep:resenJtaitiom (OCf '[h,e f:UiliUr,e., The' 'U'Q~Q:~,o'(us;
ii""."·:.a: ..... : on'.: ': :
'llO,w,ard 'dle,·: 'n'r~;i:!'.;!int·,.~'-D:·'d::: !!I.i~,I"'"",)LiI'\b;, ~:t"'~~iiji; ;-:' :enD", :.~'Iii"~~'@.;-:,·:c;"=:'· ;I',w",a .. , r:--n''''~in::.'~'~~ ,1i,UiUg, :~':il~, .....llt CD ··.~ ,:I[ ~ ..~, L~ """,I, s"l,a:
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blu:l',w,3!r-d\~, t,w,O ste,'s famrard.,'~~Like 'w,ater seemS '~e ,bJwe5:t level, it Q1('~i,wi'r;at'es, ~~w,a.'r~, the ,~F~ii~ni:'!,'.'~'''i~,~'7~'lld•1 4;,J..~, pe3! .. s., • ',q. ~ ~y !I.lIh~t.J,i,'!I;,I, U.l~ ,;-;-~~ -"t;::.~-:.+' e
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imm,edia,te' pleasure, :howflwer Oliff 'tile' ,I,omg:,~tt.nn oomeQ],ueooes~ WisJrlllJ tbink.i'n,~~ msta.Qce', 'u,i,eht~,'~jwedul shon,;.lenu'iIl'iT;aiti16,,,, . '0 ftlr II lr-~ ~L~ cati,oD, tbart can ',F{JrVe' :i[1les]sUlble., Th'is, amum.e!min hss im;nliCI'liolls, ~0'7 ns,~~cllotbe-::- ,$i ,~:.~.;:c-,;::., ~::,~:~, .. ~. ~ ~'''',D ~~-_~ _--~ ~ _~ ~-_;Ji""~ - -~_tl:' rl" I - IraIPf·iUp,~ m_A!t, a, c~bUd,'w:b,ose 'paJiletlim quairrel, frei],uently 'be~i [:0 act. s,tr,;I'Ii1IO"ielv., ['I is not ~ luureasonable' to tbriDk that: 'ilie Tlmha~'C~";' 'I ;::'JI"" . ......"'\0· 1:' '.~. _. . .~. ~... ~.~ '~~ '.. --_~ .. ' ~.~ .... ,-~~_' _ .__ .. u__ ,.. PPf ,em s~D,m the :famiil.y has s!l)methiog: 't:o dOl with 'ihe ,ru~d~Si in, Pli!':b ..,
=
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v,~1'tedby an unconseloas 'a"D~~]'1f11 ;i\~L~',f'~' il'I' ,i;,1;-.'Pv""U"·, " .1.' .I. ~~,,, . bILJj~1:' '
::Ihl~ g,.,.g.f' ,1J.1
desire 10 'brlmg
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me' llaife1'1'I'S;t.ogel1tre;r·
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'ilbeir ow,n, :pn:"blems/~ BtU if' E arm right!' 'the thempiBI, would. :baJy,e to, 'be' 'wl\ong., Th,e u.nCUn50,Q;US wuld never behave' in tb:lS, :Stt8Ite ..,
,["i·... ";!a.!ih!!a.!Uill,." I ...-''!Iilil'1ll'li'lii8i ~1.,;
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-IJiJlI u!r,:t'" ,IiI .' !liiea~\t '~:.I'II~ n', ·~t··, v 'U L. U~'''1''I'r'~nn:jrD~~eil!'. II)!!I!,I!~, ' v~· 1
~'1j"IJ 'I ~'IiI'''''O'II'!IIII11~n!l'~;iIl' ,,J~1.'I!"..;lI, :t';If'ii 'r:n'iiOiMi'~ '~Ii·I, ~.!.II;"Y.I.~~ .... 1!,YW~ y."","~\Y!.~ 1,"!JI' ~~.'!i.;~",iU,
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[SIE'iLI ~=IS~I',.·.l-:-.,lIl ",' [SI[SI A~"N:<:' DI' A··~····LII R~·'U"'I'I:S·~·M·····'·····[' [TI' 1:>'.,J.........:;.rl·,· .. LJfNllE='
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nebod '!Ii ;o'"~IiRi'f: a:-I"r-:Mo{iii'.' other neeele f,i'i!"1"I'.'i 11._.1.A1 ~1r_1,1i\..= - - .·-il·-. .' -. -, 'woe rake :na~leil;f;;; - en not ~,'io;- - ,;.~, ~ikl- I:l'sma ·s~art[el.someumeswe I-,.'.L~[_ we ..:1div;e In IU~.IS·'d"~' .,~ '.',',' 'C'm" 'l1im ..... [aiOCOU_'-(jJt other pe~p'l:e~'s success ,and '"dl-·'be~.nl: are wln~ng [aF: ,and ·t1O sacrifice :som.e of <nu: O'WD, ':for' t!beb sak[ti I. 0;[ so Ii appearrs .. Bun :per:haJ,s [,dlu.u:is'tic be.'avior' :[l!aUy 'spo_ngs lfom~:selF-interest POE. ~mstlnlcel'I'i'sn'i'l :iJt lim my lo:n.I,,·,tEr.lln se:~f·,:i.nill~'Ies:~ :fu:,e:~po~b,er:s.i' :SO in dl(J'i"[ ·calrn'rec:eiv~' lhe~T'l1n [,'etum w!hern 'I :~~ed It? ]·~O~~. I the' ~a.'tr.~tm llt =~~ ltt'~~w~-. . [of a ,cbjJ_rit~.mo:tivalted by' his r()lwn pl~sUg;e Ialth!eil~·nUliD, '1:.,, the [Ii' ~.. ~'. needs oif-[be ibe.r:!!,!'!ldariies.? 'Wh_ail mJ31uem to h~m.is that his dona'.~ilo"i!if'll:~, be V1S~11U~I~ !~U '~'If"..'i lIf'lu1l'.IL i()[ti~'1"f;lil:~,'""'!IO]"~d' no It TLr.·.~UlL~ ~"",..,.efi···ii'~. ~. UY~o~S _.~ c::';·ilrl'L;.I'i~· Q ~1~ii1I '~:r'",","~ ·t·'lFi~11'J'"iI; ~,., : [,:_, '1· r'li ,i'tt'''-I;[ '[,,-. '=-':~it'J~-I= n~ tbar ;~~p.',~o',!i iil'o,mf: .m~I)I,I, a;r:lue I'('~=-::" Ic"aiP[,~1r =,==@I. p~'IU' - -.... .i3llr:e' ;1)1.WaJiV!j, and , '-'1 )1!i~ ~,h, -- - --- .. --,Z - -----'~'I' t-:~;;(:i!,'~~"SilI~i~ JI],' _J_lt~ d~_IIIJ~~
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evervwhere mo,tiv[lt'ed 'b~ sel."~~·nJlie'usit and. ~halt dl:lere:r:t,ces :f[l. ~ ,I I! beba'riol' are due owy' ·t(~ d:iffe.r,encfs; in UJi,fll ~pponnJldtfes" Ci'V~'"
I!I"!'
',IZ-e . mCJj~",y!, em ti"hcc-'i~, c'~'[::''il;'': _ [.,!Ip;~;c,.cl,j,'l l';i~:' -de.C\~:;" :.,'i':.i. """-1m,, ,I~ V],ew.,. Y}l!;"peaui.?
==.iL";iI
~?n·~I~;ii~·''i'~t"l~!i''iill'j'l~:~ '1]'-'~_'l'~II4i:~Ij':oet' S.iF!I;,;U. se .n.~I~,,,,.I!.'!I,;...;I',",~';:-ri; I)~.alk< ,t"' ... '!l.'I'.It.. ,~,'Ii;,. .'JI ~~IL.~v~~g:I. ~_~: ',"""",
'~:-r@tru
T·:It-'~·nr··IO~i:':i"i.iryi'i"'~"1f-I'~liIi''.JI~I~"': ~i9;'I'f'"iI'Ji;>'IiI,1 I~·~·II.... , :'l".ll1~d).1 = JI!I!ir.. ,~'= ·.. ·l~·~·~"~~u,~O~, l-.JLlL~l~ !Z'~~lf,::',~·n:·~iJi:l!~iF'~. ~il!llJ. .I~;'; J}U"ll[ljiJIU_J11~~ill!I!U-:~_1J ~~U'l.\JI_I~.
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q'ent,"'s pleasiure ~lr'tba'i srlf.,mlerest has a t-enai1l. meth()doloB):'-' cal :priorli.t,., Tbe first, '\',i,ew, ,~ga.i1D" i~ plain w,liong;., 'The stot)(nrl. 'IS
'it [.', lirtlle" 'Lr't·:."""Ib.,·'ll~'~'I'", eur unne Jp:u.u, as, a "",(A~,j-"·'ln.:a~~·<':i;n.:llh]C""lb'~li:C'v.inrF ,gULlil.:.ile I~'O U.b,",ye~~~~!OiU_I. Jig,a=iI.=!I;.f~
'.
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:mu:st be' ;seil~ b~'the ',F!Oi-~~ e 'lit, t'iJ eaSl!1iil' = ,'I ----
'b\liing~ U~ the a,g}emrl., ,An Ul.uS[[[i),tioln muJld, 'be love~ IOlfien, dlefiined,
!\\Staikitnl
,e_ll!t to
ple.a~u:re':iociJ. alJl!O'm,e'1' :pers~n,~'$ :ple-a~n;II~"H:I BJ,~ a pres~rnelofie' I lOVif',1 8f_m E ,flI»t ~impl,y IOlSmg W8!~.:pen~n, as; [I
C
means tD' :my own s.8ltisfaalO n ?, ,~s:ajifJSt:tbiSI view'", :it, l'S :suilldmt , ~Ol~jjn~ [Olil'~.mat~not all. altnJ'islti,c ad"ions ,DC done o~~,sF love,. ' Somt:' are done O[UI,t [of a sense lof duty 8Bd need 1l00t: pmv~de'amy klad or p:le~.Sll1re'" ,A,:pe:non, 'w:hQ :i$, mOII.valle(!, by' tb~ W,amJ. ,11,~w 'nha:tcomes :troM haVing: done one's d~oly:its not. aaims: IQUlt rCrl duty" but en;pgi.Dg hl narossistic role :p:~aprn,l~ nd in an,' C3Jse'i' A
l
,it'hen;.....,I' nir ... ~nvp 'liIl' hla,- deeuate I' ;r'hn~!t",tI1 IJ--'b V. .... ...... Y ,.,y',.: .... _O!I' ",_,,!=,,-Ur:."'iI::~-~~"'" '""...
",~;!! ,..~_ .. "
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~i"'iL.~r'eerson's Id~i!"l'~ .. u .,.1JI, and F,,"J!.~·,·.;II. ,.... 'i!--~~d:" '-u'-' ' ' ~''. I@ ~ 1: IV~·Y·~·~~~_~1
.;II\IIJ.. .... ~ .:JI'-..~ ~
',. ' m
:",1:, I,;
sense
-(;]~'i1
'~'~Pi~~I'.laik '~iri W:':::llt']'ffo''r1 ,~~'I:''''~'ii~~[PF;;:!;;?t' 'ijTjii;lfjli~..j:!I '~'i'~'n~~,,,, !II._IJ,ILUly~jlIJ~'1 ,I_JJJJ ,' .. IJI~ tlir.-=111 (;J~~Il_ll 11_~=-.I~-\.IL.~Q! .. 'i,~ 11~IJlrU,IJ'_ ,1.~~IlIIU_a lli~
mental than.
'D,e' :Slate' 01: :llar~!U[[e.!', lithougb, ,I tbo:o,sblt a fX{perimen1t" ~IS,s, :IOI1ca'O., cohier.-ernlt, s~tlla!t~((q~ :B[IU!~,'ftfie CiUU1'O;t(D'" beren:i'lly' :imagine a. ~nr:td In, 'w:bb:b, ,ever,Olle' :bad eH:d.l!I~i,\i\e~" altriUi~[i,(;':[n~ti.valtiQns"'The' goal, [oie the arl;ru'is~.is. to :pn"w,dt; lo1h,e~
,a1tmj.'SJll"
w~lb.6I.n[occasLo:n (fir 5ell_~tl :p:fea'S,Ui;[-eS~',,...., ,p:~east1lf.-e re'aclill,l, [a, [ the [(}(f book 0([" drinking a. botrle o.f 'w,~rn.e has 'I\eceived. as a. ,Irtftl:.,[~l ,[E' one'
:Ilobod., had &mi:"'O,rt'ler'" s;elfisb pl;c'as"Uoos .. :m;obOO.,' (()uldJ :hJlJ"'1!: :hi her 'rf:'~r ,B_limuU!!itU: ~mot~v,es -;f'i--- 'r" d~R~e._-""O~dJ!I~ ·.'t,~~-:,-·,~-f.IJu:IJe.r"aome 01' me t":X~5sa 0':
~'~~_~l;il;ii..---I}-.'I:-. - ---.
die ChhlBe cultl.H,a1 rrev olil1uaD. ilihJSllilte 'me ,abSil'(-d~r:~ r~~I[r~~~er .. _____ ~~_~_~ ~ _._~_. __ . ~ .... ~,_ ,~~~,~, ~,_~,. ,~~ .. "_.,.u~ .~L.JO ,,,,U_,.I'V', sa~altruism"" AU [Ctunese ddzens: were 'told. 'iO A,al'ice' tnei'r' selfish :in1!e:r-eSlS,'fO:F.'the tll!,~~r-es;ts,,of the' poop~e~ as, if '[he people 'w~rle mmeUm:ioQ' O'\{12' and iJbowe dle' '~()tal'ij~' [of 'Cb"'rn,e,-Se ,dU~v~ )7:_'~ " e _ .. ~'~~-D< ~ .. . ='"' . '.. - _ ...,l .. ~. ~. I~ · ._z.:'t".us;. 1h~' pormt: :i.sl jU$t ,atogitai~, ae. U: :some'a~ '~Q'be' IltFldst[~~oth~f.S;m]['St. o : 'be' ~'llm~ Ilt: ~le,a~5t s(lmlf' of-tbe 'tiule", 'i::nll evel1ibodly' [~o.'ii:'dbe :R~flsb. aU tim~',.The issumption. 'mal,t ,adl.beb_l,v.tQiFb; KJ_l1h is 'me mJlSI ' panl~mnDiaus we C1I,n mak!e~, and, 8!D);en,tist'ij, alw3.ys .U;te tn t:xJplam. much. 'W.iltb. :little., But wte ,t;-at_lUlot ,c;O'ndude'" :n:.dd:ter 'in l'emeral nor
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:rn~~rt'!s:ti ':.en~8 have a. :selfts.b :~[iJ!te:r-es't :rn.[l:iu;~J;p!i;ll1g 'd:t.eir' ,cbUdrell", ,it~~Um!lnldla;~ ('~bndlf-en will care '[or pa.J:-emu, to 'nheK' o;ld. ~Ie ,'"""', but ilt :is :not :10 'ih,e 'sel6sn ,jmr~erestoF: cfl'i.ldrem. to pm~,i1de' 'Ulch, care"i And :stiU ,ma:Il,Y' do. :Som;(!',ctw.DuiJk'lllt,t'rB tn ,C'ilalhti,fS I~\)t\e
- - ev~[' 'k"~I-d b' a. 'q:tJ!l,a;'::np"e.gf,C',." ,:iJ)om. a _. - ,lJe, , I~t - ~- -d·-'LI'~'I ·F----c if'-;i:I!!t~t;'m-'r~'IIiI!~iIl'j;@~ :n;r;;!ii'li"Iilr~' ,~rh\"'" """'!Y'.;J!'~, ~f~' l"iI:'!il ~~,rI!i;t"~o"ln"''!Ii'i11 ,~~:I' !LJ=!!il"",~."",!'!'~~Y, ,11"'''''''!I!.~.~~.v,~. ""~~~,, "'" _!I"Y"""~.~t,Ii ~~luJ" .~.Id .~--- B' ~ :11,0;_'11" '[I,I£miil .,'un. - ~'oocl'
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'by p=re~t~I',e ..IIO : ,Snme' [o.t,l:ns Dr bl.ca.m~' :r.edlsldbu.tto:n ai!l)@' ,er:ba:ps In, 'fbe :iJoJt:e.res't of 'the :ric b.. :['f' they' do!ll."I~ gi:V1C t'O, the :poor'~ the :po@,(' :mJlilb't kill,
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our :b,~p", W'~ have to, rif" ,O:mt some n,!1f~,Ol~, ,o~ooivte iintu,est,. foE and, usua'~~,rhat is; not too d'ifficub,. :Ua:_r-a, cases·,a_rl~Sie' t willen penple's expressed interest ,differs fru.m w:hai~, ifh,e do:norsl! 'beUi,~v~ Wtt... to 'be' tbteb r.-ea:~, lnte:~est:., Tt],€ expressed imr,t-e;r.esf. mi,gbm, :reilea: ,am ex£essl,,,,e ·p~ .:reoccunanon widli tbe ~p·r''eB1ernt· wherea~·we, tne do" nors, want t'0 ~mpru\i'\Ctheir life as a. w~h.ol~., Such, ':(j.t.tmalum~ is rela:tiY1!~Yea:s¥, to jtustU, wheT;). the re~at~om Ui~e:raU,that of pair" is, e~t to' (:bUd",but. harder 'when the' recipients are adules Wllth 'fun
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up'en . a ehanee ,evenn I '"" [.!. DO'n~1 _",.,J,- ~.' '::'~,' bv 'me '~!!is!i:";I· am distl!ldtJoo ~',l I..:_._..,. ,E""''''!'--__;~'_'I!I'' · .~.."._., ',' ",' ",' . :;". ~ ... :;; '.,,', ':'~.:' .. ~·,t]~~-: ],ila, .,F.an{'u,~, c { WDl". IUS: it\iIt:<t' brar ..'lFl""'-1'-'I~ 011.11. Ie, me ,r.eCe,nIL. paSL, -i;,'If-.:-.; ,"I . If 'ij-'I[-,c-,;:., 'i['lf-l-'~ m ~ik.;:., . ,·,=.,·>;:,-,'1:1' ;~'cit· Ulan. b',,:: UIU~ UJ:iIl .. CUll1ld have 'beoillD onlv i'l] ,;;,'L'e d~c:'ta'··'Rt.· I.~.' '.. ':',!I>.I_,c;...; """,-c.:__,~ ,,,L_· W. ,,_,I__I_'I;. 'nA~t~ ]" '~iii' 'liP\i!'JiIi'I'i'lNJIit'i .g). 'VPnl!' ,r~~!.. ___I ~!J, '"' ""'"I,I~lIi;,c,"" '-"_";r
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p:laIusibl,c' 'st(J!"W alba-ut. :how it ml;obt. have hap:'~ned., tf'dle OOt81'"' ~ ~[li' D 81,00 ,oould, barye come' ,ab~u.t by my ,mtervtnrd,o~. :m, :feelDIS ,of regret are mere pung~llit: tban, :if there was no;mi'ng ]: could. :baJYle
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~ ue ,.~ '··Ir'-,--::. .~~,~. -C-li' '),1 [4-~~.:-;iI"-' experiences--::-iC.-~ nunU'-!l.to\lla.:,om... .~ee~ul!g,s :-'-"I~i~': -",,-;~ g:ene:ra~eu,[u'¥ me I(h 'eTS, mdude I :s~~lt,e·€D'VV.. ,17".,1_,.,. .and ~.!'''''''~,r-' - 1.'.1 Th~' ,iCJ"~ .~.. ~ "_. bad '~rnaltb", · ,. - - ,_ ,_ ~. ,r' - "~ ' \ - 1'~ 'O:~~' . - -" .~. O;oodor ~"-'~ exrwo·:e.ft;F';esDiE: ether neeele ran m~'kJe' ~~~:'r~l .(I~A fa.,,: U~L:~ .F·~·¥~'_t.'~ ~vVu .nr. ..... v.[~, IiJ ,l':li;AI \u:~: g_r\l 'reDlectiioll, there 'is also mere [cownle'x ·fee]i~·a· f: el']l~O'uiiJi)!D!' o ,I' '~-~ other 'n.fIiO'n·~efs. ellVU of o:lleseU 1i. .,~~~gJ,.~_ ....,. 'lhes:e' ,emo:lio:ns can be AO\":li;i'n ,.~~~~J [de"lomp~~at. :ijo;U)' ~ndo·wnlef:i.t[elloou, and [C'CiD'tlaslt ~O:ecu"I :ma.y be t~_U~,-~~ :_. ild;~nl-,v' ~-,,,,u' 'w'll.."'!Ii:j;, ~,'L_II'!E: .ll~.,..-~ '11"[' 1f./W ,·,1l..,a .~.~UlIL~_~:~~~_~ a'~~Q(d' jLi""''II'''_ d'; ;,ftPiAnan';f'l\iD; ~ 'J' IU.l '_. ·l,J{-Q~ ~p.=(~~~~ U I. l\.Il~:
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:w,oJr,;dl,r wroniS;: seClDlrnd" it has 'been bro~S'hjt, abU!!lI~iD~'e'n:ti(oc[la]l,y,~, ,-10.,1 'not' as; tbe' ,()'VI:),r6dJurt ofnatlllr:a'1 ,t3iusaIU~'o_r 'tbe h]JvjS'jble hand of
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"It is; semeene's '(~'IJ: ,t'1.. at _. ~i!LC', '"I't'iI~' J~' Ul~., ~t' !IJ, _~ .. ~~ ~dl!erw.i'!j~~ and "It could 'be' 'made '10 he G[be:rvri~e',~"n add]~iO:\Il i I~ ;I£Le' ': ~,-~n;t;liir;t;ll ~"1;-' !"i;('iiiiI~lirn't'~4~~'i1i~11 1!;,.,1U'~,iIL~'''_'UIlt , I!;,.J(JuJILU 'If,.,~'yy:-, lL1Cen .':,",vl!J~,c.lt,iIi.a!l;,.'L U,QI! '''''i1II'"I''',''lld'~i~'I,.,'i;11"It IrI-::fil:-'~lfll ,uiilL t: '-r~:~:1 thO'l!lJI.
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lac'k w'Un .~-~ = and, d~;saf'n"'o:lfiitme.nt. beillu ~_ ,,==U!. 'C'.C;''''''~':''I~ ',: '", fe'l't If' ~'Ih:c 'O'J:'--e e.OUJ .. -~~ . __,,~ ~cde:f:' ~= ~ -_~~=,Ii"'!t"'_ =.. _=~~ 'til~fi:i[5, ~~iti~e and relef 'ilf' it is ne,ia:L1v~,:\1' 'I'be ~SSai[~Un. 'Gif an, emati;om!a;1 ~.-_ stare ,_ be :~l. Jt.o,_~,=_,= _-~-~-~---~_,. -, n(}cs;ilhl'le or neaanve - does 1tUJI' :S'lm;:I]~V == 'lJi~=_ .. JL, orimg: us' 'baek tIl' 'w,c,eadi,er' emi}riona] p'la,1~a:u,.:Rartfij.er:~, :f~tends t.o gl!ne£alte a!riU..1;ther emoiti<a-oail ~hjtf'of:',oppoS'~te 'S.i,gll. CO[is;iide.r." a
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hl 'mi1I!tWJal.illze and 'wJi!t'n ,a~ ~1l,.leilsallll: :5l1:airJe o:f ,a!1fa!i~()tia~, Il~~blaiIn.th~ :;r--~~' w~ '·'Treli.~r"'cmm tj\e~ ,al. B,}!,' Qant.~st", 'lTIe'our:respo:lluUIlI em'Oti.Ol1s, with, ~ 'lo' ~tili"¢' ,c"(!re ,emQtiQli~ '~emaUr ,di!t~nllWls'hed as ak
""1'~I'~"'~\i!"r "~"!I'iIj'i"'I'IJI,~~ ~ "i"l'"~'~"",:"""" :"1.;<; w'~~"i'" '" 'p.·""<r'i;.-'''' ... I-~~UJ';O; .... "'F;-; "'" !IiIi, ,_""i,,,",, , ~I!IoI;:I!!I:, gil'" ,_ ,1!1 ~111,.. "I:I!<l!"i'IilU. .... ,'Ii> \.iU~:;I!L,el"
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no p~~sib[UtJ' of 'CaL~,(e[:~ her mood fOlr a, w;h.ile turns ell.ll:phori,~ before she returns '~lJ an affea;i,ve~" neutral sta,'te'~Conversel,,; 'tbtl inteml:p'~i(l~,ora, glOod'se:xual'ex,-pe.rie=nce can create [llctJjte' 'fru'sitra,,.
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trast: ,eiIect. Drug ,ad,di,diou" Jor instance, is char,ac~erizedDry' de(reasi.ng 'bene1i,ts'S[rom actu,a] [ClnnSll~,ti(lD,and :hlcre.asblg sey'er'" :iJt~t(!if Wj,tbdra.w'al :sy,m:prtoms,. PeopJ,c' 'w:h,O bl'"e been :mamoo :Ior ,8 Iron, dme ma :DO:1: 'fee~~, ",:err s!tr(~fI1g'~Y ,a:boUl(~a~h (;lilier ,8Jl!"
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other dles, Convf~jrseTY'l; :p.aE.a,ch,'I!I~e' jumpers :liepcnt tbalt oY'er. tlme k ('I) 'ik, di tne 'Ii.. t, tre!l}M)r'e-jlum:p' a-=r:tx~ety~Im~m~iles [",a.lit~iO:U,ILI,:~~,Ilievel' ,.c'~sarp : .. pears e.I]fJU:rei,Y)1 'w:fuJi!mas,the eupb,o!li,c' ,a;R:e:r.e.mrects increase 'In ~ :~~~,elllS:~lty,.slmci'~.ar:psnem oibtaj_ms if 'we compare' 't'ne :p:~eaJsllJr~s A of censumpnon and the ~ ~ p:~ea~$lJj:re~, ~e'~f~,:[~aUytlo,[t Fioe,. (.If III ~ ~ 'VIL~, the :p:tea:sun~s and pa:~n.sreq,ui'r.ed :from single ep~SiOdesl o;f COnSU_jDfJf~Otl, a.l1id :sel'r,.reaULlat~o.D.are s::tlovm as d,epellld~ni on time 'w,~Jlhinepisodes and, ,ac:rtlS8, [episodes"
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dk~i,y~' 'DeIM,vio,[';o 'trut wj,th some' varlB.tlons '~~, :[fiurnd, qurlu,e g;e:I1.'.' i's
a-"i'~~'lfv~or.e.·:-Ht·""~inl< ~i'tji;!; pC""~l·'t·i[~'J\.~ leasares 'ill, .:'~ p.' ,..,. 'alU!:L ~"""JL,,l ~ '!i,.;; ,ii, 1UI.1i1 ',f' " Ili.iI,iI,~ ,.'. 'IL!'<l'!Ii..r y. ~ .'
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'~~' of C' ~ ~ ~ fade~ over 'I;iime Lf.bt,l\ , nattem ::f :~<~f,'~'~,~~,~i~li\:'~~r~,,: '... ,I,t'.... . eoed "~~ ~. ~~ ~.."- ~~~ ~ - ~ !t:-~ ~ ..... o~ Sell, '£-ea_ililzaJIi.I~n. "i', ,~5 '(uu~nd,~m 'bundiag a,boat 'wrltil1l: ,~U1, riilcle' 0[' maohl{g ,3 book., a Thie' 'be,gi.rm!ing carp~DIl~r finds his '~OIDk bQ'r,~rl(Q and, dc~Him'lt" and I~v'en:[urthe 8!(co~pUshed crafts.man the' :~n.i,da'~, ,of[oonrenJt[,I,[act
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gets :iDtu' tll,e' bab~t [011:readin~ nevels, And, ~h,e':l1imt :Ptll',e$ 'al M'.QtJim_if ["illa:r~ aee '~r.Dbab]w' ha:r.d eveD ,,~._ 'ye~erilrn 'readers B ,J,: _-'"_ r"""- - - _' '1 '----'- "_. _ '[o.r' _._.~ ..
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o,tbna'l set [af [emotional dispositiQlDS mtalt earn. be a,Chl"oo. by [cholce' or :mJllck,' If' 'm,He' ]'S,~ :il: cannot 'bel '"n'd"': ~,~~.;.~,~UL~;I~ hi; ~'fc'mv l'lit:e ~~"'U''~-~Ul ~g_IJl!J.-.r.l and '~'~f:.'."\i!Ii 1~1;1i-eeendenr 10\1] ~,.JKJ"~\~;IIL•.u_ll '\"_I~r!lj_U::I_J~w'LQI_:L~~~j\1i JJ_~ ~ I~ Ii:' lI~J'.' 11J.1r:i::~
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abUity to 'love' wi'tbOUlt be~n~ 'Vulnerable to stief' :~s[ ,ask :('01' the' '~O moon .:. __ is the desire, to e:miov' 'the eup~:horla of bo~' 'wiidtoWJt ~ia.~, as ~_ :J.. '.1' . L·..1.·, ;. _ 'r~'
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'boa/lid 'with one i,witch far' each ,emotion" BfC'a!use mere' DR ,c(Jup,iiqs between the' emonens, a Stoic ammde comes alt the cos~ 'QF :Oa,Uer ,em0tlonallife' ar~,ound, ,I r The' ·couplings, OOClur within the 5elt ~(' CiJre emo1tio:m, 'be~,weell ':---:'F~'~fi~ '~:;"I-I'~':I~:-'~[~I~~;~"~f~I~'~' .~ ~.~.~ WlL"JlL= ~ .• l-~' core ana noneore emouons any, '~'7'7'i~'j":·in,~, '~':''j't··r~~ me =a,!l,Le~[-r;::-'~[:i,~lfll:-;= ~ "WUD!!LueJ: ",L-'1UIl, r-O!II'I;n11~'n'il:L': 'll!~',ii;,'Ii..'m'~'' "'~'D. ....If'iirliA ]Q.~i!!l~'.ifu\D and n_O.:Ii+i,ll,ii!l; ,;i!Ii--.ifr"ii;'-~q~" '~'nJ, '~;~d l UI~ .~·~-~u, . !I4-"!IJ ... ~t~.1~
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mno" .LTheir'rm'sU';a'~ed '~ltieDb; ma'~' weJ!i1nrm ., .LD" = =--~,,,r""'-~--~' ---,Ii' to quadcs ..who[ choose th~lI''u-ealtmen't'S :more or less I~;[,a;n:dom,. One ,0£ '[hem :ma,y ac[dd.e.ntat1y' hil upon a 'tt-esltmemt 'fua'f 'wor.-lcs,. ,E1veotuaU,y' ,a]I, :patients 'wi'I, :recely,e 'tball, '~reaJtme;nt~,ell'Del be[ cause the iucK.y-q)uack 'ta'keg ove.r-tihe m8ir:iC,elt [(tiF. 'btt.u~' [otmeI'S1
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In 'i'Ii\lljwii,ii'I,a 'Ii~n;r;rlj"",' ,1.lbILI\&""lL 'will be relected,~__ J !lieu ~.e~=~- cinac.a!~F'win 'be ~e~eaed 'Sii1I'i)Pc~ A'[f:.:'~::;d:n!Jta:~ ~ ~e~,e -.--- - .,- --~ ,- -~~ - -"lIi"''''' as ." , ,. ~ej,e = 'I '. 'II "'k '~.....A f! ,.iii '[1[0[:[ t~ 'bu;': 2.,;i;emaJttv~s',r'as ,1,fiIlJS as 'We ftma;~D, m me ,(,CIJL, '01:' n,
'Ii,m-J .~uJ!I, :·'t~,,~.'III,~'V' 'U!l1'I".. il-"L " 1Ii,lI',1,,JlI'9I,",''Ii' ~ ry~ ,1']'1' "-,U,c1. 1 oX;I' ;i'L~
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Once ,A. is reached, b(Jw~yert, :1];0 Jul1Jb~r C'yoluu,orn. b,' -small 'stlC,PS [can take place, iro I-eac_b the' I~o'bal maxhmum, at [C~ 'thJ! K~ection precess w'Q:uld, bl1v,'e '~()I psss 'illi[\Orlllh ',h,e :miubDum at B' -, 'but: tbJs, i:s; :~m~ssibl,~' since [Q n1ly' c-banges :(df' 'the be1!t:eF carD, be se1
leeted, Se~octiun,is stuck in. a OI'loca't maJx1wluD, 'tl'ii!P,~ w:ber.eaS) :Fa~i,onal,('bulce ,can, :B~' straight :rU(f the' gJ.o'baJ QlIaJ[iLmum"
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'tb~ '5iifl'\ifill'Ii'i¥iiii91:r]litt· _1
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:m:isms;, n, a pp:1I.e s, '~O the bi,o'[O,8i,CiJl, '{h,oory' of na,turai~, :se~,et~lO'n~ w'herf' it :n::-FSt arese. but a;~oo· 'me 'th.eory' Cl[ economic' 'ClO~pe~i,.. ~o tion, the .~o:ryof 'unoow~ioru:s mOith~,a,ti[o([},alnd. 'the 'th~~rr [ol: oompUlt:e:r' ehess pOC'og.rams~ Befbre I eOOC!tsid,er the mn~, h)), mO'r-e l, 'tw'o
detaj'[" E :sbaJilll digr-ess.
fOll
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Far: a.lomg ilbD..e·~ma.rn.' v:e:hem.enUy' ~la:lmed thltl'i: [~he'l\edludl.OI1, of : biology' ·~o,hemiis:1fy' could n~t.',ogsibny wode ....... h: d:i(t MaD:, but arrgu:e tha;~ :soch)lolY (4U)l10,1. :pMsib:il",·or ·arm. :~.easm not [ooa,r." be fed-'iced ('0' ~"':.:h~i::oC!-;-'~., :Sh'lc~e'I In'Slst dl:a't tbe~ ~---- --_._ ~ --~~--~ hld,tYid.tud.b.ul!l'iiatrii ~, .JI1_ '" ,t""""c~~e 0!D:r,~~ ~~--- .~--. -
m:eRC'fS~. I: 81m
'Clo;.nl~j'ttedl·'.o, recb.ll:cclon,:4. A t!!lJ_fthe~ ~L~p:iis,the' reduooon of' 'm:(s, ·dl.e md.a1 S('lell()es ,- c{:un@.ml.a." mt~!{)lOI,Y and ps,ychotoS,y· .....o' t ,evob!lrt~.ornarr ~bJlo"" The tUSCI,pUJile tbat. tries 'llU .a!oc.n-mipUiosh mh~ .r~udOiD 15G!lUedslJd(1:h.;1i.l~,. I shall ha.Y~· ('lMetbi'~1 'Ll)i ~.'" S .laJ.I," ,a:oouJt: 'du~ scope and :Iiod~s. Ib1rs d)sc.ip:lbl'f' .. of: 'B;N!;-:iCf'o:O is ,Bit. tbe' heSln. ~f 'nr-OQ!C[ieBcS 'lD science', A'll!allitl(J~ 15, a .Ut.~. _I. ,_
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~t~U[~
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few' ,mula .., tha,t happen '~Obe' '!llsefbl",'~' Na/lural, 'selection renaiins, [a,ml!l!ts,..' retain.
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Ith~ dteba~~' whCillbcf' 'tile ~vid~!l~ [(Xi'" 'the' r~¥' :Ls ~' :5Od;d alI'Ia1IQ,I~_i~' M 'lh~,~lill" '1 1m, the sb.-qn: i[il)J1ll" ""arI.'t IS a~9i)<~Il,~~u.'ml by' th~ :rlid'!dD.g _ Fn~,:~ ('~h [O'f ~' twa :pamilts. ,8 '~' :i.Wlri$~b':~ti~i\I,:~ ~~ruI,Y' [',l1i~t~' P:~5C" ~.kI~ ~ ~~~~n~ af-C ~~ 1m, 'dIe ptOC'fti <of' (jop-fi~: 8,~m.~('miV~~Hi1t '$> Su~ a ~:k <lOl1:ui'ns,:!ilO:m£' O'u~da;ted stalisli;es, and tb:at !al I,~'l!iq ,.1",
6 f~ b~C~'1'
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tgl ,ifrt~d~;!,
~te ,!lj~dd,mtaml~~r 'll'l.em 'up to .~e';. [[;Ha.e' b' a-nalo'ilr S~D.PS,;'dru:r~' '~.P ~~ ~ ~ ~oom~m, by' w:h!im th~ :f-oJl'iJ~~ ~d~ 'wptd :~~ 'tbersal~o:f
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m!!f, horwey,e[:~, :rult be a ,Im,o'bal mar(]:m.'u'm4 for. reasom 'n~,Us[r,a:~edn d;iagr.a;ms A" and :0, ,(iff P~g"'VIll, 3,~ i '1be :~Bllfe ~IFUJs;tf;c;Ul::S 'r;a,ct that, :fro,ro ~',B~j,ven, e'ne t'i.c sltalte_, ttu~' B :1101: U other s!laJtes[can, 'be' reath,eel: by' a sJn.gl,e mutaUoll" since a
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;t'ru,ctio:n,.1~2'U:iIllblocked, ,8iUO'WS, :rndlic3Jt;e feas:i;bl,!' ene ..,s,tep' m,ov@'$,!, b~ock~d ,a-a-nrws 'l:h,eUJ:J'[~3!si;ble' ones. Superior s'tateB are located
~'O[11U~,~nl~(~ a~d [th~,~~c-OOJQgOm,~~~ :
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:f.aU'l'$ ii)Fnd~F
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'l!I~m;t :N~Il!tiriaW[mll~31iom:~real.::' the ~sstb!il~l.'r' f~r ,[:8!ndt]grn,9fn't:ri( drift Sec· c ,{ultd~even ,[ii, ~'~'1l11:Mllta:dollil [mI,PIt net k ~ela~ned" i~riuts lint. beaJW' h-a)5; tb~
bad
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[that det~~,
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w;idle~cb -Ol~~r,. :10,
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suppose
'd:t~l[QlJrga:ms'ms ,IR
,Z. 'brut::0,011~'he ·
L ~41i ii..~' ''11 ee ' ".wI1 'wbich tual Ulniavnr.a;u\i,f' :mJUt'aJIIIOfiloecurs 'W!J 'Il..... Wi,~Y 0U!~~~ 'O(f,~
~ r.
g~,0'bal,maximlum, 'W~clue' air-ea, pI., :from X 'to 'Wls blO('t,oo. 'The ' indirect path, '~hrou,I'h Y is umeasible;j! slnoe alllI,y' Ol;gmli.sms :im
(lI'1''!Ii,'ft_ __ ~~ '.;~_ ''".Iil~ ~-P!fi...~ ;rro-~_, '.. ;~f'm:l_'~' UJIL(lJI~l ;lh.-a, ~\IJlt~ ~~.=11II~
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];::a'l :rn..aXiii: ,-I ~QC_ ~~~_~P_W_,.
,;i""!''!Ii'~11"1\- ~._ ,~_- j~ ~II ~1;iI,lol,
be sufd
I~l
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:N[(J,'tllr::alselecnon imploves, ~Ille'1\ilIJtRess,~Ji'...-., :re'p:rtldnalvf. capa,dttiJ-\1' ,-, o:f ttu~' ~ndiY,i,di(l.al Q(f8:afJ~ltnt~,.(AQ, e~tl~jptio;g, Js d~s/cussed :ilD ,the next p~JJ"[alta:p:b,.)/ 1:i: caD, 'very wen :h,a,ve diy~tro'UlS
[BiS
'fi~b",t'imat :18, 'Ullfl.f '~end£ncrto ~~PNim, COnl\paa, [OUU;lI;tlOIlS., ' :[[), S;IJI,pO~e thet 1JIliiUa]]y' the :f;bib 'SW,iIEl, 1;0 a, raore sca;tt'f,[ied 'W3iy' but fhaJ~ a, :mut.,t~,Q:rn. '~I!1r:s that I,eads, it'S; be:a:rer. t~o seek the'
center
·'n I. ~ . ~;, red ~ A d WI. ;, rece[ve ,g[-ear~,e-Fpr ate,al,O[1i, 11 :f.llm, Jf:~:' a~m:n., ;,c';) m,(lr-e' [am;,
1
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ll.
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ti1om,o,f tlUrst 'b, d.riDkmg is Ummedilarit, «-dun ,i'lld fretUml, and hence capa'ble of sItS,plIo,S:'beiha,vij,o;r :~n me m,(j)$t,dil\ltt 'w,air :rOlaS'ill!aDlle,. 'Geuing ca.nCf'J: of' '~he pa--=ncJ:-easfr:um drinkhll mfie,e I'S a, comeQjIll!e'l'tc,e that i:s very' 'IDJrdikely '~o reitruar«' bebavior., 1'(' oae gets cancer from {loJlee'.i '~le,~eis[ a, dela" of several decadces:; 001., ii, 'few' B,et :i,t; and 'they Jive o:ll1I,y once, ,A:s a, less extreme lexample~ consider the ris'k ,of lerum,g: p1regna'ot. 'Qr:tJ,f :in, the p"sl~:6iftr yle~n[ nf' '~'~I~, i~t·,'UC'!l.,I1I, known that ,~'i'f~grealliJ;,S. chanee of '[I'r-~',",1]"i~[~r"ill;.' ~."'~~1 ~n.u """ ~,~'~j!!I-·t, v~ lLll,ilaiJL, cuane.e o. l~~ullinl[ pl~nam!t, is,during 'me' 'lime between 't;wo:mefls1;m,a,tio:--ns,. :I'f'[every'
il:!!'V
~1Ii"i;[
the ': "m,'iO"'~ "-ir'-Aq'. "u~'arl1,,·'~;I:y" ~~'t' ' ..-: O.··..-...;""Ii:ili'lr~:, 'l'"'i!'-'e·'. ~:~:+~[~'~-r,,, ~ju.~I.iCiII"'-, ..
l.~l
t
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..
_J~~
.~_~
J1L .. '-~LI_ll~~
1~1[11". .
,UU1J!
~..
11,1,
!Il-U~,
I~-~
th'i.s, insigh't could ba:v.e emefled~ ear~!iier'., Siimila_'r;~~y'", might have' ,e:-meqed, ea.d~,er':~f'the urst, sips oS: :it,
iil'tet(l)ursf;'
led
'~O pre,I.DaDCf',
'pre,Bnaney' oc"Curred, 'w,i,tbim one hour of ,m--nce;p:tiocQor I'r every' 'wOlman. became pre,grnant hundreds 01"thousands[ of'dmn :10 her
.IU-etime.,
M,os,t: sodal siltua,t10Il5[ are of this, :kiind~They have' roo liiu[e ,rqjlda:ri!ty .. ,and too mucb noise, for' ~r.-ei.Dfo(li'c'f.me.llJt: to sibape be-
hawo[r in a :tine"'liluled 'w,a,y~The :IJl1QjO([ excep.ti,oJ], :is[ the emotional ,gr[a:t~6,ca,tton,or d,e,p;r.ivaJli,on m;u people 'who ~J.ve'doser,' toe:e.fue:rcan,~, ''_:~["""' ".g.,.,'L~ [v:,:..', __ ·p'"-li'[PDiii\C shaee 'i;,.j,~~~,1.II",'!IO;,Ii.Ii, 1,.....chl~'i~jnr-rl ;~~,A1i'Dn;!i~' ~:.: D,::.:,i_I,--.':~, ""',:_;__ oftar each other M~iIr,;.' ~ .g;'"""I,U,,
~,.J,., '"'" 'Q=I"",,~U
;i""....
I~
I,
83
:mc:n1: Js 00;1,a
but lfu:t1Ja~,00 nsequenees are :nort sum~i:e1l'tJ)r' ~BUJ~iU 'ill) :f~ed 'ha;ck: on be:haJvirO([,. B~~atitllfii1~ =_X _'" .=y 'bn'w'conseouences can fJe.in[OIFO;! mQ~i,y'arj,om 'W:ttbO'"I~,t iiR'J1nS, paiR I~f :rlt,is,somewbat m,ysteri(nl's,~ but the' :[j;(;n ruSI'ilia'c 'they ean, ,Ailbnal 'bebalYlnr :il not a:Il'(ma:ii@dl by' con:sciO'I!l;s jDtlmtjorns, ..~' , b~~lt,'~:~, cen :(nlfii1~ '~is, lY:~' In fa:cn, almost lid~, 'dlaJt _UL,~ ,~_ (J ,3L,_"f 'blldJed"," C-O'l1~Pt'lue:-ntJes., =_= ~ __ g~, ~I'OJ==~_ :is In'DMnl albaut~ n?rnforteme:oll, COInes f[1om, the :StOiay of in~ma~, l~~-~~'"'-~- d'~d-- ~-,~-~,~, me -~t ,\~, "'·'!fl~'i1'--~ctr--J -t';'n a_._!~~, .~,-~ -b~ res" l51 ~., ,ea,mlD.1 ann a a,pulluOfil, mall,w._J ex,' Siptll!!B.l0,.JJ"m.ilI
[(;U11ll"l1It fu~IUUC]l", :
l_., __ .1.,,'.]_ •• ~l'-" ~ ..... _~~ ~.,~~ .. ~ .. ~ .~ .• -~_ .~.~ •• ~
_.l."""l~l""'l •• ~ ••
~=
_ ....
j~~=iOI~
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~ "'" sptt~~.cUtO(D.,
....~~
'Ii""""
ell'i1iiIi·~;;~e ;;I;!;J~,~~..,.,.~
"'1"'(-:' 'Y!'I~
.[II'Ii'
'.''. ~J".'-"II'~. ;1,w ,9i ,I!,~.'~, [n'l' '1l'6:t' U<l!JI,I!~~iI',;r~' ... 1.,.'
a·
lP~l,ron '"""', ,8j,~e:n a, (·~h.o;,ce' is 'betwlfefi t,Wt'O act~v;ili~~, kil~h sre w [[e'W'8niedj, diiR~rentJly",A rea],·Ule anal.o~rY' the sean:h 'Ill! flood :im is.
,ea~h of :sever,al, [~n:YiFOrnm,en.ts., 'Tht' task :15,'~Ollex;p]:a:~n:11.0.:mucb 'dle anjuma:~[e~lqes, bl, the orne' Oir the' ,ai'h:,€:F. TWtcailly ~ lead),
a ~'-li-_".",.L~llr.l' ,~';if\liIT~ 'ri!lfin>l'1:iiiiit"h\1 . F'~'~iji'~'tC-J]'c Ij \
VI]
L! ~...,..,~,,~,~~
a _'
=-_'!Ir.'
,I
lever, 'ihe're are {w-u 'ba'sl,c ~wla:f;sQf a:ttachiul, rew'ard!s '~o reme
0'[iJ!
'm:i~U_IJ_IJI~UJ. ~~ :;;:lI;4'ii~;@,-l"I~,
I __
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ether
."\
1ir..
can
,.,.
~J~
~P~'
~U' '[II :!JIIm-;T:;~~la~iifil~~;m' !II._I~I, -~I 1i~fi~j'i'" !IiIJ I, _ "'-/'\r.-JJJL _1=I_iII~ __ =. !P,l" [..
• .~
:mJ!'mory'",so'tha't each, unrewarded response :~ncr.e,a:se-sfbe pw'ba:biUr,u't'ba![,the next resoonse 'will be ·rewarde.d~ III o;['a;ctrca]tenns, ..,_ l., ._ _ .__ _ _
t. . , _ . l _ ••
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'~.'''''ii~,"n,-il:ii~fli'~:i~IO~'if'I'''''5iI'~ ! ~\IfjII'~lllt1o'i\iii~~ _ ~ , ;i:i!~,C:''r L._I~l_liIJ ~lUj~JIJUJ. if1'! .. tll.lftr., tiI_.:lI II.u,IJllU'l '"T J.!. 1'~n~1 l~ILI. 'l1iP:rioll] I "-'!III.. ,r-'lilnJ..ltUU
::...'~,!I!.~-~~-~~}~l ..:~~.~'~~~t..~..._:~;.:~-~ ..
i:;i:!!oi'ififi@"ij' ;_';·JI",I~Lj~l,
:~~l '._.._.:
,~ur.;~~~, . 1IHi..:I
a .... !hs'tll"'"., d:I;iEi.n~;i"'!\ifI; 'with, ,- ;~,~.[~.~I~~~~!P~-=r·~v~_·~·_1bnil~~;fI;1l' to,: dedde 'W"h~,'L...;IIr-F..n'l!"liiE'ii'~'ll!lt-I.. '11i ...;i,.!,;!I).. ... _ rl~~~tl~~.: u~}~~ .. . 1'~UJ~~'.!l·
to ,maike' fooo, a,vail.alli~ie., Once' ~.tha.s 'bee:n, made ,8Jv,ajl;~lb:le:it 'staJ:s, a,vanable" ,Mer' the' ftf:~st enod, let, liS assume, there is; a ,20[ p percernlt: ehanee 'dJiait, the 'f:ood :~51a,vaUlblte,;~after the 'seco;nd a "
'''F'i..;iDi' Ji"n~
mast make ,11,", ,'5iIlnn~t'lfn~,j;~~ the ''''"'r ILljIjiIJU,,. reseonse 'liF-~- - - the"l~~a'r ,~r lr,""'"'~~ the :kJav)".=~ ....""'-~ mske '~,W!i"'",:~O.·:··~?'; ~nil'e.SlS M_. ~"''''~~ It can ~~ - -,r''''''"~ v_ neck
"f;nifli ,IJI,....,u,
,tF'1I;.:;:i,l'nllifl~', V!Ii.I:'L ,a~lih,,~1 '~'I_flo .1,:dUI !li.V IP.et, '~~,ii"1I;..~.~ . _ '~t, b'!!...,iL '!tl}'"'_"~" 'ioU,'!!..., ,1i!u!U'IJI,~, ,iliJL ,. _ ,'Il.I:~:L,
[I,~,",-
per-cenJt Cba;l]lCe; after the thb:-d", a 4,9 ,pe:-F.-ceD~,,c'barna, and m 00. ~ ''!Ii'Il'IiI~'~'m' - :~I~I,: ~':r -','\~I~'~~-, ,':I~ '!Ii! -:. b '~IL.L:.,.[ i;Ii!l ~II:;!"""~~ ,~.~,'Ib!r~. ,!Iii..Ii.h:,..,..,.., ,11.~,'Y''"'''';;:¥''''"ti',!!!,,, ]'~.'h.. ~1~1I.1I,~ 1I~ ~¥gji!!~~',,~!, ,!!'~
,~,C,or>;iIW" '..... , ,·',Eiii,·'I," '~~:",- ,,·';iI"!i.,-,"I!II.,lIi
'~,'I,!11 .. ,,\iIM!~t;l]ji. '_' t
'~II!,
oiIlit'~-
Dil"
"ir[_
,IU.UiI
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-~"!;..,j"
Il, - ..
~f eDom,;; res.pond beF'O,R the :flQod :~s',made a,vaji~ajbl~' ,and nan resp00d when i,t :15,a,v,aUable'" The' ,cenJtr:al, ,qmesl1an hl :rein{u!l',oem,e1lJt 'theall' IS wb,elher '~lIli'1~ ""-i'm ..... - - if ~ [~h respcnses 0\p.,1m alll'Y'ue~,:"een, [-'L ~ iii--wo - ,al,;_;~;l'V,~:~ -,-~~ - ~- ~~~~ - ~ nf 'Ik ~h",~ ~ ~ . "'""';' ,. mats 'Q,-,,",~(a!l,,e meir .;'u;t'!' .
ni'i oOii
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-.
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,~Ji:';
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'Ulms, tOll't, that 'r'be answer,I' deaends [:'~IC-Itbe ,f, air , '~':I-'C~h(I·-l"TIIJ~~, ,cew'~ild ,mecam'SiR18 ~~~_ .... " ,,' .o ,Wi . -,t-'.oS on,.. ,a'S\soc.ia:~ed,widl '!!be 'tWiO aaiviti,es" :[f 'both reward mec'tl!ani$.1111SI
are of
tbe oBe'_3rt,I:U~d".band'ilt .
-~.-'I!;"Q''',,""
'Ib~no~ ,~t··~~n[·'ilft!i'DI the a:~~V:'i:r,::-.:' '!Il,o_U,e!!i ~"c~~-~-'"'e< land ,alIO·oii'"~t~~n ~'~e····.]-~,= ---[l.lI,lirn g,J,,'I!;.,.., ..1U,~,~,1.y '~·~·-::;iii'1'r W,~JLiU, the Ulot'! :hiljh,est. pr,o'babili-ty ,af :rew,ard." Somelimes"" naw-e'v'er:" d1eJ [00:-1"0;"' mit the ~~,a:a;mlbler's,fa'~]at"V'''''' of , di'Si.nDlll'tin.o' the stakes in "TfO'lilOr~]' [b"-" .. ,.\ .t~l ... .. _ ... tion to the_ odds,_ If bolD ~.~~~.,.,.~~.~.~~~_=~_ v~ rhe ~u~er ~jDjUJ.p.l ~ ~~;~, ~ __ _. _ ~~ ~'~ ~ ~ ~_ m.t,liif'b8J~i~~ are ~f' _,~~~, -:-~,= 'I~'i\: -;ill ~~.~ ~ ~~~
g~ YVe,e,
l._!l ..
_'.It ••
c.
11_.
l."~'~l.'~"_
l_._
..
,..~
·.'r=.l;.LI
__ ~~~~
as, :in Pia'" lX.l 8Jmma]s, 'lUlsuaUu' .o nat ot:i;timlle'" o II d fll,e aJ:lJma:~. ,a'Uoca.tE bet,w~e:1l. 0 and lOO p~ruDltof its ti'lim,e [can to the uvo aCith1'~(i,es" ne' ~~s ewarded 'by ,8 V,I, [(v,mable"'[,Bliio) O r mechan'_s.-m:: tb:ls lSI tbe' o;D,e""a.r.rnt~d. fI),i3ind!it TIl,e oth.er is ['ew,arrd,ed 'by a V:I (va:ri.a!ble, ..,blfJ1!e:lVa11) mecJlillDis.m,:; t'bl$ is the] methamsm,
t:
l~
.•::-':_r-r~._#'[J
~I"~_\"')M
hrn6Wt:
iQ,t;
'd." :~t:
on VII
's'bape fdeot:s: th,e' Fact 'iliart the ,expected. :r-eward, :from ,each ,cxUa,
nl\r.~~;lo.
~,~,lYI
!I;I: '_' __ I: -
J~
1'""'1:
~'n,
r,~;[~!lv, 'fi~..:!i ;tii.... ~n~c:.;ii"~. [n.~ i4~:~iIlj' '[15&. '~lIl ~ ~_I~I~"" ,,--=_~JI~,. [1i..i"'_~ [LI~~l_I~lbl
~t~,
~_jlU~
~~Il"~
,oCC.aSiUDI!
,!['iiir:ili':-::~' ,~;~~, '1~[~i:"'1"L!If[I_~~II,~_ • .llJl 'ii,j ~[~r~~I:U.;;]i ~ifil~;[r'; ,IL", ~fl [~'_lJ.._~'\.;;j~ ~ILI,~ ,_P.;:J''-l
reseonds
~'~~;n.!"
:frm'ta:Ue:r"[Thie' V:R
,;j;;....
alWl€'
c'
sbou]:d, 'be
hi[lj.,
'In
"\U"'"
iIIj;
alloeares l'l;,;n.ilil,i_Ol!
lett, Wheri
iI'1IIO'itiL'i:'IllIOi 'iii)A !.,!lI'!I;;I."LUol!~,'11C!i ~"""
'VI", ,A'Sless a_nd less is ~spen~on 'VI~more a_rnd ,mo(FC :ijs, SCpe'ot [0(0 ''1,1",'The' expect:ed, rew,a;r.d :fib(f dl~s ,at'ct~v1,t,lSI :s~mp]Jl"pmpoftiollal,
eo 'nnJe 'nnmoo
cl1am:(Je st'ea(UI,~
l~'
,[)'i' VR
'CJf
bfulm_J
:[\tw8[1d,td"
.!"!l
Oil
tb$t bl) 'OO:~lfCil~rmy :rewa.rd tlIiaJt, :11li\8'ht ba,v~',come due ,a;fie.t' :its,,Ias't a ~'""s[·t ~'l ,,,I; lIS: j;,-~[~~"t[Lr. ~ ~~ VI",t 'eo n I:., 1b'"- In )11~ ~I'"'~ ,p, )iiUlJE:t~_)e mea can 'be ":' J I'~ [c~}~re.=,'=] ~~r-~fbJ] "'d ~a c ~ <. sta~ed =~ ~~ mJOI'
S:iUl],
of the VI
and tbe 'V,R '[-ew,a.rf:id~.,'l"hts ()OCUfS, wlle:::n=iOl"'~,I"'· ... l!,~.~"p,t"· .... .. ,~~"o""~.s ~_ ,~~. ~~~=. ~.. _=. __s:~ ='"'~_,_~..... _= .. ~ =. It' :si'f'¥'ilnds; ,~: 'n.pKle'mlt [:;If '~t~; =
time on 'v] and the rtJSt. (Wi 'VR, An, ,abe:ma[tiv1e W,j\W of e~1:'i:res:lifn" the same idea is duJ,t 'lh,e 3[dmal shortdd ,cb,Q~' a, 'VI-VIR, rnlix. in, whicb 'ooth ,Iwrities :tllv1e fu.e same mlrg~nalvllae,. (i S'\1,Jlposel~ fur concreteness, that, 'the a.NlIyl, ,~ponds I ~,rQOOum~ '~oVE ,a'll.d
_____ I ••••
lJl~
[_J
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_l
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....
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~~'-=
-_
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= l."""!g}.~~."
~-'~l~'
--~
'~--~lV~"·'-'-·'-----------JDl
,2~~OO() 'times;'~oYR" ~Il!e 'ma'rgioal value of 'VI ~ tltait :is, mil!' val,I1le
-. 'fe'- -- - ~-tt-0'1, ,Binexrra it L
'[h~ [ga'in. e:.x:ooeils[ du~ loss,. tne ,a;mrim~:its, :n~t ~ptimizfnl:: ilt: (1()uld d,o 'ibeluer by cballl~ng: ~lts, re5llQI1Se :mi'x., C:onverselLy'~,an 'o;prti'llllzing aromal uses a, respol1x' :mix 'dI!aJf, mR'· not be :iim:Il.{n)tv~d.'~rPon"
2~OOt) tlmes
'~O VR., If
--- --- - -- c ..Ic~'nt.: rf:'~ .. 'iI..""icWl . n ,.,ii... 're_,~ar!...u response m VI' '....... ~,'1.. . 1~_J!U~f'~ft~(::e v, is me ~!I,~,~'eeJJ ILlI~e' WI [.;II to 1/00'1 responses and, the :r;ew,ardto 1~,'OOO:res,polHf,S" AJ~bt$t mis 111in" w'e mJil.ist, set the' loes (tlf' Ie~pontUnl 1,9'9' ,imtead ,of'
(Jut~,ho.eVte]:,I' tba'~animals oO:lrn"",t betJa,ve o~Umal1!V'" r II 1;ru;1~ad, of .s.pel1ld.in,B, the [op;ti;ma~,, PHCe.Il!Jt. OlD, 'V~~" bey s.pe;rnd. q[ t peroen:t" Insit'elad, ,aF [eQuaUZlDg 'the maJlibl:8J valu[e1), of du~) '''''0 att~vl.iides.\" ,t'hey' a!J.uaU2i€ to,€,; ,~lV\l!ra,I;,eva'~ua,,7''1be,a,~er.e' -vabll,e' ,ar 'W 'is, onstant ,(t'Dd ,equal '~Olits lnaljhlaJ val,uf',. TIle' B!Ye'tS(le' value e ,of D,:pa:rticular leY~I. of V I: is :ghr,el1.'by tbe' sl,o,e' ~f'ifihe:Iint,:u.o:m wJt ,ohn @,m VI curve '~O me ()lil~n., Wil1h 'the [a,ah~f~tJmix; cone .. tbe . s,p.Jcndi'1l1l8 to ql the' ,Ivera(g:e value' of V,I equals ·t'ha!~f' VI. When ~ ,~uli~mClds, equalize .a,vifT:~le values, 'lhey [o.r'le~j a's it wC'.rof', [bat m,Osl, 'ar'the V.I ,r-e'war;ti}s eeme fr,QIIDl, a £~ ,r:esp()use;s and, 'dtaJ'~i,'~il'o't, '[-eail~, n.lJ'iJtab[e' to go[ on pa"mg 8[lt,mt]on '~O[ tbis aal,v],'lY., Thief p ,d'nR""t' t-"blion,'ii'the [[[~""i!'a·'I'\AI!lilu each 'P-l'~ii!'!;~ "il" a-~l·'I~:t¥,,' ,4~pe:',':.:Rd)I~, &.!L iif!rf·-"V·.·· 1!L.!'!..1I. &.u """ .'!io..~U! ._t ,""""'' ' ' """,I, 1.1I,·.il! 0,: ."
11;, ,""","'" ~
n~ 'tums,
!t'IQ,Q
.',
il09
!L-" ....
'~'nl
r··~
.....
"''
lJI,,,,,",·, ~'_'
11'1Ii
6[ 'In the dJa:gram" 'VR ~_t!i, [orm!ita~l: ~ rg'iwJ 'v~J1.!ie" he 'm:a~.il[atv,alE ~f 'VI ~s T
ali p(Ii~1:,1 [BGI ~(nT:~pq_:s to th~ ~l~~ of'tb~'ti!l~f:U: '~Q ~ V1~~ ~t 'lbaj~: f.Q1inl., ·W1liLem,*e' ,!lII.mtiima'l [Optl-mrl~ dil,c smOJle eq,'!lJlail'S ~h~l: -tb~[ ViR l~llc'", ~f '1 !F.hi~i pmodiPJe' :is,C1jWled,tile "maitCtliing [iaw,,:,ji
0.
mo~
o,~
1 ,/
It,eiUroro~mie\ll;t ~~perimenJts,
,!Ill"
g,~,~~o1I!'!l!"
~v
"'~IU_]~Ul _.~~.
~ln1i
SU~pose'~ ho~ev~r" lrelure IJ1:~s,due.' to lllhJt: 'up red, ,8y' pecki'l'll 'lb:e Il'ftn key' ~tu:' pt"wrn, can, prev(C!mrt it f.,om, ,~is'hJUng: 'IlJ!P [ied~ '~'b.us[climilnaltlD~the [1J;,pOn;\linU" '~,O'00' Iweedly',. SOlm,e :pige.nns, take' this ,~pt;i.an"'rn,e,
e'~'If"I:i)~1i' ~ "I.,f!l/ol~.U~'JI'"
~~IJ1Ill_~I_ }~.Il
evaluaJ~e 'ilie 'fut;Ul'r-e' as ,in d ~~srarm B m. FI~" V ,.2 ~:~l precomm.i'~: and
them U;J~· .-L-~-~-"'---J
,1Ii'~'~"'~\Di.iE', y.-~~
't10'[ [;J~- ~l .lI,,~~:..-;rf'" 1~-r~"·~~tV· ~-=~).:..: it'li (1;0;1" id~l ~ _'Y6 itiDn'liilil!l··'.~t·"l·'O· ~~.I.1 ~,.:__:" ~-g.
,IQliiIii'
DO
~l" oJ," -B" S" 'II-.. d~ :es~Bn.""";~ contem-poralY", ~_.am :""'m~~ki.·IDe;l,errelri,to, an "'·:~n,VJ;~~.';. l'S 'b~e.h.and,,'1! that shapes bU;Qhl.1)l, a:ffam., H1df,a, c-en'tlll'FY :~a'ne'l'~ :qt;1 H
,;iii. ,~
0,
eccur uniD'tent:io:~~U\ll" l :I'n,Ad~m Fe~lU~:Qn.t~me'rn,orra'" bJe p'b£'~r5ie',;,'~"HJS;tD;ry'is the resurt (.if human acn,[OCrn~, of human not
" ", ,~tl'~S
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11 --"HI:~NrG'S don't
.,.",f'" 'ILI',
and I
'iim
oi\l.',a'liefii;;U--::,f]!i"cl" "~'~' 'tlb:-'~r'l~i .. '1 /~d;':': .. ,["ciJ _~,",,~JlI~O~~ ~rnm, et, own. it "U}:ll
'ji~he j"im, 1li-_~iL~
~Ul _I'_'iIiJ.~~I_"I~~
the "- other. be-ina: dIe viiston, of~sooet~~--" an O~'~CI-t,~, u"r;lrr;;,,~ " .. - - - ""-"'0 "-" - " - -- ~- "" ~ ~",," ""y" as "_,, ,,,.,It!!aJDI'c .. 1]11'.'1:' Theie' two Jima,s}tsare sdH 'w,hh us, On tJh~'Ont hand, ther'e t~ the' idiea, (1):(' :~ndi,v,~dual ,ij,(:lio,rns; i'n'!l.eneri[!l;ll w,iJ'b ea~h oither' tn :llr-odltlCe '~ri,od. ,It-..., "~
an untmended (lutwme'. IOn the' other :barnd~'m,ere' is the' :Idea -, :mOI!E!. £uII" di:S'Cll1ssed fn the nC'Kt cha:pt-er _, 01 mutua_I, adj'us'tmj!Dt
,amo,Rg: :~ndiv,idiual :plans~aU,offil1g: all to be carried ,a~~,Wilth01JIt: ' di:st(ldi'o,n" " :Befo;~~' :1 consider the" u.ninteflided c-ornseqrl!le:::nces, (bait anse
plaIDed, '€ilH:Uf(r~ an
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In addjd,on 'to the intended euteeme of an. adl,~m,., th~re is sometimes an urd.nten(l,e;d, one':: a ,chang~ of d,es~re., AcldlcrltlfD ];.5 ,(1 simpic' example, What I ,desb:-e' :ma,r 'be another dlrink" bu.'t 'w:ha't
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·t'Iil~r-i~h tile' 's~O'~ d'oes[[r;"~tm~' so, ,,~ ',_"Il~k,e'l~' til 1.e 'far: mer WOi i'td ~.~UtD~'" .--,."'~ ,,~t.',:r .... ~,',' .. ~'''l ,IL '~'s . .I_~ =.1! '~'hat "_,~_" ._ ~1.[)_", .hlve :rrreil[soo, 't'O [e'x(,Ra'fl1le hls horse :[ur a. :S£I,(k. 0:(' renen 8IPples:,., [CuEi,()S;~ty' and '~b,edliirtt: :[ur :1l()ve:11F.f' arm: '[ri!lle:r~d.by' oplions, tna,t are n~~the·,··r' '~imna~lr' ~~_ '~'O~) :t~;:, 'lilt"ii, nor [(Us~'~nna~r' frtUin the [t"'l1!1rr:iD'nc"'~' ~v. Uti _
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A;ttlOIlS, ean ail50' l:ta,V1e' an 'Un~~JteDded, tWlpact ["n [O'P~pOR1Ji~Q_~ .. des" I 'trn:~lY '(bat. d'rinkhl(l, ,a!m~o.,smy purse, T~rlll'that i~lone' 'ller ~_h,e t
~ ,ArnJ'ij,liliIDI¥:H :is,HlJ'[ min~d~,
[~~' ~II ,·:Il..;O;l'I ,ll_I_a! '~l~~~ 'w 'i!I{~ 'L...." U~l_iliilr 'l;.iiJl[i ·!I!'!J.'lI_l~ .. .. lI_loll ~
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~ ,M,o;re :f-amui'l'f" :lm.a;$l'Uc' a :pe~.IlJ w~o :rq:I.!I~lar:l.y ,(.abb.o~p: n:ol: [ooo~iousmt" ~j~ts bi~ d.Ui__f~ ~ ~!in: .!fu;e:prefen, :mOrt ~~Qn.gly llIiIe' ~~~QdfuL" 'Q.fwlLki~ be' ~1U;~m.Mybs, lft5. :S!!!i~ : h~' ~s' Pl~, ~ mo'[Ih~'fbllw'Nffill,g ~Jn~(~' ,o:f'two", oo:mmndllJ' b:l.!ldl1l'S; [~, ,t~ t)~~i~ ttt¢ill" :if'~u:a rgh!"elll;Um.t" b.@' ~.s ..(\~, ~,) ~tY.IiI~u-min:1btmdl.e n [ici :~tlmce m.r;u:1:(~l the ·nul. :period is ~jf:ered ~U ,eili~ 'bet~ifI bQ~I~ ,~ ,~~ '~~ndje'~! + 1~. e 'wIDl~ h a'IW~li'j, ~b~ the 1!1J1lle1' .. WhicD [Q~, mort o:lth¢ [~it'f olWillrl(fi he h~s,(;~.uwm~my' I:u~i5~ ~OS" ~ ~~~ ~nvrt~ 't~,:~OOli' ~(':~ :S:l~.pw.i~:lm_~lO~efi~ [pa~ ~' l~
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