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Minxin Pei
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China’s Trapped Transition: The Limits of Developmental Autocracy Tapa blanda – 15 Marzo 2008

de Minxin Pei (Author)
4.1 4.1 de 5 estrellas 9 calificaciones
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The rise of China as a great power is one of the most important developments in the twenty-first century. But despite dramatic economic progress, China’s prospects remain uncertain. In a book sure to provoke debate, Minxin Pei examines the sustainability of the Chinese Communist Party’s reform strategy―pursuing pro-market economic policies under one-party rule.

Pei casts doubt on three central explanations for why China’s strategy works: sustained economic development will lead to political liberalization and democratization; gradualist economic transition is a strategy superior to the “shock therapy” prescribed for the former Soviet Union; and a neo-authoritarian developmental state is essential to economic take-off. Pei argues that because the Communist Party must retain significant economic control to ensure its political survival, gradualism will ultimately fail.

The lack of democratic reforms in China has led to pervasive corruption and a breakdown in political accountability. What has emerged is a decentralized predatory state in which local party bosses have effectively privatized the state’s authority. Collusive corruption is widespread and governance is deteriorating. Instead of evolving toward a full market economy, China is trapped in partial economic and political reforms.

Combining powerful insights with empirical research, China’s Trapped Transition offers a provocative assessment of China’s future as a great power.

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  1. Número de páginas
    308 páginas
  2. Idioma
    Inglés
  3. Editorial
    Harvard University Press
  4. Fecha de publicación
    15 Marzo 2008
  5. Dimensiones
    6.33 x 0.73 x 9.2 pulgadas
  6. ISBN-10
    067402754X
  7. ISBN-13
    978-0674027541
  8. Ver todos los detalles
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“Minxin Pei is unquestionably one of this country's best informed and most insightful analysts of contemporary Chinese politics. This well-written, provocative book­-a sobering picture of a China beset by severe social problems yet resistant to the political reforms needed to resolve them-­directly challenges much of the conventional wisdom about the rise of China. It is certain to be welcomed by scholars, policymakers, and general readers alike.”―Elizabeth J. Perry, author of Patrolling the Revolution

“In this superb work, Pei asks penetrating questions about the course of China's development. He offers a very effective critique of the gradualist approach to reform, explaining that the problems China faces are not incidental to but an integral part of that approach. Powerfully argued, this is a major contribution sure to stir debate.”―Joseph Fewsmith, author of China since Tiananmen

“Pei's notion of a 'trapped transition' will prove valuable­-and not just for its application to China. It serves to challenge the deterministic and evolutionary assumptions behind much of the literature on democratization.”―Philippe C. Schmitter, European University Institute

“Not only does Minxin Pei make the case that the Chinese reforms are partial and self-limiting, but he also calls into question the hopeful view that rapid growth will ultimately generate political reform. His important book has implications for current debates about the United States-China relationship, but will also force a rethinking of the broader comparative literature on the developmental state.”―Stephan Haggard, co-author of The Political Economy of Democratic Transitions

“Thought-provoking...Mr. Pei argues, persuasively, that China's gradualism, often favourably contrasted with the former Soviet Union's flirtation with radical reforms, is as much a political as an economic strategy.”―Martin Wolf, Financial Times

“Pei does not have much time for the optimistic assumption that democracy in China is just around the corner...For Pei, there is little chance of dethroning the Communist party behemoth in spite of the heroic efforts of the dissidents and democracy campaigners.”―Chris Patten, Financial Times

“As Pei sees it, big trouble looms [for China]. Continued progress toward a more modern economy will require the establishment of a true rule of law, which in turn will require 'institutional curbs' on governmental action. These two limitations on power are incompatible with the party's insistence on dominating society. So long as the current political framework remains in place, then, China is effectively, and perhaps fatally, trapped in its state of transition...[China's Trapped Transition presents a] comprehensive and, I believe, compelling understanding of present-day China.”―Gordon G. Chang, Commentary

“[An] acute and insightful examination of China's ongoing transition.”―Chris Hunter, China Economic Review

“Pei's most significant contribution lies in his lucid exposition of the causal links between the structural logic of China's "illiberal adaptation" and its manifest socio-economic and political consequences...He has arguably--like Elvin before him--raised the level of debate and altered the terms of engagement.”―Richard Baum, China Journal

Biografía del autor

Minxin Pei is the author of several books on Chinese domestic politics, including China’s Crony Capitalism: The Dynamics of Regime Decay and China’s Trapped Transition: The Limits of Developmental Autocracy. He is the Tom and Margot Pritzker ’72 Professor of Government and George R. Roberts Fellow at Claremont McKenna College.

Detalles del producto

  • Editorial ‏ : ‎ Harvard University Press (15 Marzo 2008)
  • Idioma ‏ : ‎ Inglés
  • Tapa blanda ‏ : ‎ 308 páginas
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 067402754X
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0674027541
  • Dimensiones ‏ : ‎ 6.33 x 0.73 x 9.2 pulgadas
  • Opiniones de clientes:
    4.1 4.1 de 5 estrellas 9 calificaciones

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Opiniones de clientes

4.1 de 5 estrellas
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Opiniones destacadas de los Estados Unidos

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Daniel H. Geng
5.0 de 5 estrellas A book for those who actually know the ABCs of China
Calificado en Estados Unidos el 2 de mayo de 2006
Compra verificada
For those who's never been to China or lived there, this book might be a little out of their scope. Afterall, the only things you hear in the news are how if Walmart were a country, it'd be China's 7th biggest trading partner, or how Intel is building their fabs in China (away from Shanghai towards inland to further reduce cost). For those people, go read on how China will take over the world economically by the middle of this century and believe what you want.

For those who Does have any clue about China's political system is keenly aware that the entire Chinese economy is still tied into the political system, and that is just a time bomb waiting to explode. If the CCP were to collapse, half of the country's wealth will be exported and rest will go down with the defunct banking system. This book digs into the depth of the current geo-political situation, and is so accurate that the People's Congress is taking note and implementing changes (albeit slowly) previously pointed out by the author. If you want to know the REAL story behind the Chinese economic system and where it'll truely head in the next several decades, this is THE book to read. Not some "economic model that projects blah, blah, blah and threaten's US's position in the world," where the author is totally cluelss of all fundamentals of the Chinese economy other than published economic numbers.
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Gervais Lavoie
5.0 de 5 estrellas Autocracy and anarchy
Calificado en Estados Unidos el 9 de agosto de 2012
Compra verificada
Pei did an excellent work. He supports his argumentation with elaborate research including facts and numbers. The recent elimination of Bo Xilai tends to confirm that China is effectively trapped. And as of now, most of the problems identified by Pei do not seems to disappear but to be more and more accurate.
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Katz
4.0 de 5 estrellas Excellent Account of Economic Blocks to Democracy But Fails to Sufficiently Question Underlying Theory or Current Context
Calificado en Estados Unidos el 8 de diciembre de 2014
Compra verificada
This book is carefully researched and benefits by the authors access and ongoing monitoring of Chinese sources. He's able to capture nuance that others have missed. It's a particularly important work since it also addresses and is even caught up in a thread in international development literature that predicts that growth in a nation's wealth and in related differentiation of labor and interest groups will lead to democracy. A major thesis of the book is that this isn't happening in China because CPC regime stability requires side payments to various corrupt and well placed elites to remain in power AND that a major concern of the CPC is to maintain a monopoly of power. This is certainly important and well documented but doesn't really do enough to question the veracity of the core theory. In fact it's odd that after generations of U.S. policy failures predicated on a link between foreign aid, FDI, wealth generation and democracy that a major scholar would still have faith in this underlying thesis. It could be that U.S. post WW II successes in the democratization of Japan and Germany have framed our thinking but counter examples from Vietnam through Iraq and a rich literature on the various and unique paths to democracy even among the oldest democracies should prevent facile assumptions.
Other criticisms of Minxin Pei's otherwise excellent work should also be seen in light of its 2009 publication date. It was written before Xi Jinping assumed the office of General Secretary and publicly sought reforms of some of the practices at issue. One might even assume that he or his staff read Pei's work since he's targeting both he evils identified and some of the processes that support them. It remains destabilizing that so much of China's newfound wealth remains on eastern coastal provinces at the expense of the rest of the country. Since political stability is prized by an elite that saw the alternative in the Great Leap and GPCR Xi has supporters in his quest to wrest power from those interests whose greed works against ongoing stability. However, the quest for stability is also a block to those who would promote democracy even if corruption and rent seekers cease to block the way. Chinese elites I've met are democracy phobic in a manner not dissimilar to American Federalists watching the excesses of the French Revolution while favoring constitutional limitations like the Electoral College and Supreme Court. This is another reason we will not be witnessing a democratic transition in China anytime soon.
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A Reader
1.0 de 5 estrellas An Unscholarly Book
Calificado en Estados Unidos el 6 de julio de 2007
While the writing in this book is quite smooth, it by no means is a scholarly work (though in the guise of scholarship). The author picks and uses data and evidence that only fits his/her own political/ideological (rather than theoretical) framework, and ignores those that have been well researched and documented. In addition, most works--theoretical or empirical--cited this book is quite obsolete (except those from the internet, which tended to be superficial), even though more up-to-date and important scholarly works were already available in the body of the literature. For example, well before the book was published, there were already new, major findings about Chinese people's support for the government and democratization, and their political participation in both rural and urban settings. But the author totally ignored these new findings, probably because these findings were not very convenient to his/her political/ideological framework. More disappointingly, the book is full of the ideology/emotion-charged, groundless, and arbitrary statements (or beliefs) that you should never see in scholarly works. In short, this book has decisively departed from scholarly or scientific inquiry.
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Mukeli
4.0 de 5 estrellas A Great Resource
Calificado en Estados Unidos el 7 de diciembre de 2006
Pei is well known is his field for writing about the political divide between the CCP and the Chinese people. This book does an excellent job in covering the realities of the economic and political situations within China. The vast majority of the book is actually quite an easy read, but the beginning of the book can be challenging for those that aren't use to conceptual models (hence 4 stars).

I highly recommend that those interested in China read this book. While I do not agree with specific points, Pei's general ideas are sound and provide lots to think about. China's government (read the CCP) must withdraw from the market if the economic reforms laid down by Deng Xiaoping are to continue and be successful. However, as Pei points out, by withdrawing from the markets, the CCP will lose a lot of its hard power.
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Rob W
5.0 de 5 estrellas A must read for anyone wanting to understand the politics of China
Calificado en el Reino Unido el 25 de enero de 2015
Compra verificada
In 2006, Chinese American scholar Minxin Pei published “China’s Trapped Transition” in which he invokes the most established “law” in political science — that over time, countries that grow economically tend to become more democratic. Oil-rich states are perhaps the exception. But so too is China, which had also achieved decades of growth, Pei pointed out, yet had made almost no moves toward openness. This Pei argues would eventually lead to problems.

A must read for anyone wanting to understand the politics of China
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